TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Utah56c247,196$138,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,342.7367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Kraken44c172,129$75,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,736.6411644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kraken43c62,062$26,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,932.2848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kraken44c59,000$25,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,9608952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Utah56c50,200$28,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,087.9936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kraken44c34,745$15,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,287.85639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Utah56c18,888$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,310.7221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken44c16,390$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,160.2327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Kraken43c11,600$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.955149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Utah39c10,133$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,193.841154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Utah56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Utah57c7,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.1185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Kraken43c7,040$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Utah57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah57c5,952$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.21,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Kraken44c5,438$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.782846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Kraken44c5,388$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Kraken43c4,867$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.774055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Utah57c4,667$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.674372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Utah51c4,371$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Utah58c4,241$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.1533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken43c4,204$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.061,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Kraken45c4,037$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Kraken54c3,683$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.730259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Kraken44c3,652$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.8820756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Utah56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.2452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Utah57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah55c3,394$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.4329146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah56c3,333$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Kraken44c3,190$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.64738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken57c3,059$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.2189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken62c3,052$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.141,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Kraken2c2,719$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.842814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Utah57c2,667$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.815541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kraken43c2,602$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.1376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kraken44c2,574$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken43c2,518$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7427547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah55c2,381$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Kraken44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0124252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah57c2,222$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.4689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah56c2,222$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah56c2,056$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.091,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Kraken63c2,041$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Utah56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Utah56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kraken43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9626750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kraken43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9220450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Kraken44c1,950$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85824952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah26c1,909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.2643743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah56c1,881$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.752,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Utah56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Kraken44c1,682$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.926246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Kraken65c1,540$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Utah56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Kraken44c1,421$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Utah56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5288748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kraken43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken49c1,190$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Utah78c1,187$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.072470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Kraken43c1,135$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.189751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Utah57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Kraken45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46811058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Utah56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Kraken43c962.56$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.911243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Utah41c959.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6534040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken44c958.25$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.342,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Kraken43c950$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.55950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64da…2292backed Kraken43c930$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.919154.5%104 W · 87 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Utah51c908.42$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2833234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Utah56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Kraken44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39622352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Utah57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.197648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Utah68c866.59$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Utah56c823$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.5534538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4c…28ddbacked Kraken46c780$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.82045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…ade0backed Utah57c708$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.444744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Utah57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30138445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Utah43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6713547.4%64 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Utah53c686.72$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9619150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Kraken45c664$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.88749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken45c663.3$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.392,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Kraken43c624.78$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.656434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Utah33c608.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.874330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Utah55c605.65$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6519759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Utah46c602.97$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6425635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Utah57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2585957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Utah57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken66c578.48$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.181,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken52c533.7$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.641,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Kraken44c528$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.323450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Utah57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.329762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Kraken44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed Utah57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Kraken43c499.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9840049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Utah37c499.87$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.926538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.