IPO · resolved market
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57cab2941546609df2c77672a535ba8374c5c2042f921fdcf3c1f072baf57dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 58c | 9,666$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 23c | 8,778$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,716.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…eb07backed Yes | 45c | 5,885$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +548.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed Yes | 71c | 5,405$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 47c | 5,056$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,277$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 2c | 4,050$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed Yes | 80c | 3,355$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…6efbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,071$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 3,032$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 16c | 2,725$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 11c | 2,550$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c406backed No | 4c | 2,381$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 39c | 1,744$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.16 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…a14cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,678$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…7976backed Yes | 52c | 1,646$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 1c | 1,554$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 68c | 1,505$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 1,434$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 9c | 1,400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 37c | 1,299$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…c2d1backed Yes | 27c | 1,251$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 15c | 1,236$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 42c | 1,149$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…dd39backed No | 60c | 1,140$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…3ffabacked No | 7c | 1,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 40c | 1,096$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked No | 69c | 1,070$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed No | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…8560backed No | 78c | 966.28$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 938.56$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 63c | 921.91$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 905.75$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…894dbacked Yes | 44c | 851.78$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 12c | 814.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 805$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…e1e5backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked No | 12c | 750$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 731.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…2aefbacked No | 78c | 716$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…6443backed Yes | 33c | 712.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc5…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 664$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 626.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…baacbacked Yes | 43c | 612.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +143%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…5345backed Yes | 18c | 602.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 597.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 28c | 586.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…cabcbacked No | 6c | 570$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…2d89backed Yes | 40c | 570$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 556.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 74c | 548.52$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Yes | 39c | 542$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 4c | 517.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 56c | 509.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 507.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebc…8fc9backed Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 50c | 499.44$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5c51backed No | 80c | 494.27$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 10c | 492.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 33c | 490.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 80c | 489.24$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 21c | 463.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 459.71$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 18c | 435.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 17c | 407.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 63c | 405.08$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +133%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 75c | 405$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…22d8backed Yes | 15c | 387.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…48a8backed Yes | 49c | 386$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 20c | 377.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9c3bbacked Yes | 56c | 372.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…5ef3backed No | 17c | 360.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…9d94backed Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked No | 23c | 350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 345.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 343$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 26c | 330.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…9209backed Yes | 23c | 327.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…8c95backed No | 80c | 318.75$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…cb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 318$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cc…8961backed No | 51c | 313.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 68c | 306.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 301$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 20c | 284.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…c84dbacked No | 74c | 280$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…a77ebacked Yes | 78c | 270$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…e8ccbacked Yes | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 37c | 236.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2b8ebacked Yes | 77c | 232.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Yes | 50c | 227.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.