AI · resolved market
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f08be475de4add7e39677175422d49be84d1c2b77862999407f0d4ac12be2ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 40c | 45,047$17,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,882.98 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…cc39backed Yes | 33c | 41,585$13,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,614.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 67c | 34,543$23,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,451.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…6aecbacked No | 67c | 13,432$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked No | 75c | 10,271$7,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 30c | 6,629$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.23 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…10eabacked Yes | 41c | 5,768$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed No | 70c | 5,067$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 28c | 4,762$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.62 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…7796backed Yes | 24c | 4,634$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,512$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…9c47backed Yes | 34c | 4,365$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 76c | 4,069$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…5cdcbacked No | 74c | 3,923$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 35c | 3,879$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.15 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 11c | 3,823$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…0031backed Yes | 34c | 3,413$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…c306backed No | 75c | 3,095$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked No | 65c | 2,961$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked No | 78c | 2,897$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Yes | 2c | 2,844$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 33c | 2,725$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.47 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 71c | 2,677$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.63 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed No | 40c | 2,502$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 72c | 2,440$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 60c | 2,376$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8ea8backed No | 66c | 2,289$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed No | 73c | 2,241$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.36 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed No | 68c | 2,185$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.09 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 2,131$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.4 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…14cbbacked Yes | 55c | 2,029$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 36c | 2,003$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.34 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 1c | 1,904$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,855$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…ab69backed No | 31c | 1,850$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 63c | 1,814$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 44c | 1,757$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.44 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 1,721$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.73 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Yes | 76c | 1,676$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,660$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed No | 62c | 1,615$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.49 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 32c | 1,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,518$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 57c | 1,517$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 19c | 1,448$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.42 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 33c | 1,414$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…e559backed No | 43c | 1,403$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 41c | 1,402$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 36c | 1,383$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed No | 34c | 1,317$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 48c | 1,305$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…0289backed No | 66c | 1,225$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…c6c7backed Yes | 24c | 1,170$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 44c | 1,146$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed No | 63c | 1,138$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 67c | 1,121$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 24c | 1,051$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 71c | 1,050$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,034$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…0a19backed No | 51c | 1,032$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…b506backed No | 34c | 1,011$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 52c | 1,002$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.67 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e543backed No | 66c | 1,000$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…cad4backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 32c | 997.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…4da7backed Yes | 7c | 982.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98c…aad9backed No | 71c | 979.62$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 21c | 975.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 33c | 924.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.84 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…7613backed No | 74c | 912.87$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 6c | 906.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 888.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.71 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 60c | 883.92$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.72 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…169dbacked No | 32c | 880$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed No | 67c | 876.16$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…151bbacked No | 35c | 852.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 46c | 841.76$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 30c | 830.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked No | 26c | 800$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 22c | 788.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 30c | 768.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 65c | 764.66$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…fdc4backed No | 51c | 750.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…e3e4backed Yes | 31c | 749.45$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 70c | 714.34$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 58c | 706.45$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 700.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 69c | 699.95$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…5025backed No | 55c | 699.5$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 44c | 688.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…68d4backed No | 74c | 664.28$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…c0c2backed Yes | 30c | 662.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcb…0d27backed Yes | 31c | 644.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.