AI · resolved market
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca8a7a73d0433ab0819c1eed5a35bbd7482e89386f61488916a8bedc9e27bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 19,763$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b3…392abacked No | 14c | 18,642$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…2e00backed No | 3c | 8,693$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 10c | 7,585$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.92 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…df59backed No | 6c | 7,318$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 1c | 6,555$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 79c | 6,467$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.62 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked No | 16c | 6,003$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 4c | 5,500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…151bbacked No | 13c | 5,392$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…0289backed No | 23c | 5,114$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…10eabacked No | 30c | 4,224$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 12c | 3,638$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…e46ebacked No | 8c | 3,582$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed No | 17c | 3,529$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…ecaabacked No | 9c | 3,394$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 2c | 3,320$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…4f93backed No | 18c | 3,038$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 2,835$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…b23dbacked No | 14c | 2,549$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…6636backed No | 2c | 2,340$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 1c | 2,196$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 2,131$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 79c | 2,065$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,941$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.61 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,918$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 8c | 1,809$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…2e0cbacked No | 4c | 1,794$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,779$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 1,717$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…6dfcbacked No | 11c | 1,692$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 6c | 1,662$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,626$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,503$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked No | 5c | 1,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…07febacked No | 11c | 1,456$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,274$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 16c | 1,268$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8148…613bbacked No | 9c | 1,210$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…5e04backed No | 11c | 1,202$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…12b1backed No | 8c | 1,100$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 61c | 1,028$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.02 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…d7a0backed No | 18c | 1,016$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 8c | 1,006$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…086cbacked No | 33c | 897.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 7c | 889.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 79c | 850$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed No | 7c | 831.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 8c | 803.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…7157backed No | 12c | 790.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 729.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cc06backed No | 12c | 710.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 689.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…46d0backed No | 6c | 668.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 3c | 653.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 7c | 569.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 533.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 18c | 504.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…0fb9backed No | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…4dd3backed No | 6c | 386.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe039…7c92backed No | 6c | 333.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 14c | 330$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…7772backed No | 18c | 329.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 5c | 313.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefba…bfadbacked No | 12c | 307.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked No | 11c | 303.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238e…4cccbacked No | 17c | 300.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ebabacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 6c | 299.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685a…d03bbacked No | 5c | 298.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…5b73backed Yes | 72c | 292.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281c…e66abacked No | 11c | 270.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 18c | 264.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed No | 8c | 252.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…169dbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 6c | 224.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 41c | 223.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 19c | 215.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…16dbbacked Yes | 77c | 215$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…fecabacked No | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…6f1bbacked No | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 44c | 185.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed No | 18c | 183.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f3…b163backed No | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 17c | 176.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked No | 10c | 167.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 153.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked No | 13c | 147.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…f9e7backed No | 7c | 146.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…f543backed No | 13c | 140.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 71c | 133.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…2c55backed No | 15c | 117.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.