AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd9378e404c2b77d5bdaabe50187635e7fc25f064d1f0563040b9b46ac4e0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,196,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,124,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 45,915$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…3303backed Yes | 47c | 34,605$16,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,264.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 15c | 31,562$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.95 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed Yes | 11c | 20,355$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 25c | 20,030$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,061.82 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Yes | 61c | 19,637$11,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,977.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 34c | 17,053$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 15c | 14,272$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…0f44backed No | 19c | 11,903$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,641.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…7febbacked No | 19c | 10,800$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 10,099$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.92 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…4a90backed Yes | 4c | 9,749$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…ccaebacked No | 53c | 9,600$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0310backed No | 53c | 9,005$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 16c | 8,561$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked No | 70c | 8,506$5,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…7dbcbacked No | 53c | 8,400$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,762$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.15 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 28c | 7,758$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.82 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc79…52bcbacked No | 53c | 7,600$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 35c | 7,177$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.63 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 7,113$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 0c | 6,750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 6,595$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.4 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 6,445$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.27 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,750$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 18c | 5,715$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.02 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked Yes | 70c | 5,500$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 5,304$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.28 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 2c | 5,205$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked No | 18c | 5,173$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.58 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Yes | 1c | 4,944$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 21c | 4,835$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 9c | 4,370$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7ca8backed Yes | 0c | 4,330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 7c | 4,138$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 4,089$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.69 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 4c | 4,085$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 3,971$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,857$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed No | 26c | 3,794$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 54c | 3,753$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes | 13c | 3,258$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 32c | 3,236$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…1032backed Yes | 71c | 3,102$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee2…82e4backed Yes | 80c | 2,976$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,964$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 68c | 2,903$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…3668backed Yes | 3c | 2,765$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…1edebacked No | 22c | 2,616$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 7c | 2,561$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 50c | 2,551$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.83 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 73c | 2,460$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…cc4cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,400$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 64c | 2,310$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.53 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…bf2ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,284$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed No | 22c | 2,279$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 3c | 2,250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 2,158$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Yes | 47c | 2,139$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…439fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,031$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,976$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,971$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,875$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…79dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,852$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…4d78backed No | 77c | 1,819$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 70c | 1,657$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 5c | 1,622$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 20c | 1,590$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.3 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 8c | 1,569$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,542$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 21c | 1,519$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…89cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,490$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…258fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,470$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed Yes | 15c | 1,425$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…fecabacked Yes | 77c | 1,417$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed Yes | 41c | 1,417$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 18c | 1,396$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…74dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 70c | 1,383$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed Yes | 3c | 1,366$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…4cccbacked Yes | 21c | 1,350$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…def9backed Yes | 76c | 1,350$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked No | 76c | 1,300$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 65c | 1,299$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.42 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…47a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 59c | 1,261$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.92 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…af1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.