AI · resolved market
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbbb08ce3ed8389596b50e67bb8ad6ae64d512901536b94a5e05269403777083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,141,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,096,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,141,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 305,775$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Yes | 0c | 199,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…5df4backed Yes | 0c | 103,902$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 49,176$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…1babbacked Yes | 0c | 33,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…30efbacked Yes | 0c | 33,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…b4debacked Yes | 0c | 32,997$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…3cf8backed Yes | 0c | 32,997$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…d604backed Yes | 0c | 32,995$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…0575backed Yes | 0c | 32,995$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…49f5backed Yes | 0c | 32,994$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…2e63backed Yes | 0c | 32,994$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…35adbacked Yes | 0c | 32,994$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…20dcbacked Yes | 0c | 32,994$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…d0a1backed Yes | 0c | 32,973$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…bd4dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,958$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…ecdcbacked Yes | 0c | 32,958$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…2175backed Yes | 0c | 32,957$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…299ebacked Yes | 0c | 32,956$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…f035backed Yes | 0c | 32,955$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…c174backed Yes | 0c | 32,954$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…1860backed Yes | 0c | 32,954$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…36cbbacked Yes | 0c | 32,916$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…4a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 32,916$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…b501backed Yes | 0c | 31,432$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…c3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 31,389$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…d305backed Yes | 0c | 31,365$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…8019backed Yes | 0c | 31,341$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…f0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,317$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…7490backed Yes | 0c | 31,293$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,236$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…0607backed Yes | 0c | 31,051$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…1bc8backed Yes | 0c | 31,015$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ea…bd60backed Yes | 0c | 30,995$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…3fe1backed Yes | 0c | 30,994$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…d5b6backed Yes | 0c | 30,994$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…d47dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,954$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…2279backed Yes | 0c | 30,947$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,915$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…4c68backed Yes | 0c | 30,871$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…9291backed Yes | 0c | 30,747$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…6483backed Yes | 0c | 30,745$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…1517backed Yes | 0c | 30,744$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4f53backed Yes | 0c | 30,744$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…7b2abacked Yes | 0c | 30,722$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…c011backed Yes | 0c | 30,703$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…5aeabacked Yes | 0c | 30,697$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…60eabacked Yes | 0c | 30,631$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…4280backed Yes | 0c | 29,432$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…73c7backed Yes | 0c | 29,411$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…9e61backed Yes | 0c | 29,365$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…6f51backed Yes | 0c | 29,341$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…6469backed Yes | 0c | 29,293$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…cb0abacked Yes | 0c | 29,067$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…fa80backed Yes | 0c | 25,387$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 24,517$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,954$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 16,921$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…12e1backed Yes | 0c | 11,160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…6685backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 1c | 9,801$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,374$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 0c | 8,795$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…c214backed Yes | 0c | 8,487$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…bc7bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…8d21backed Yes | 0c | 4,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 1cpaid | +1,076.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 0c | 3,075$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 2,707$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c2…c435backed Yes | 0c | 2,578$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Yes | 2c | 2,052$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…2843backed Yes | 3c | 610.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 3c | 493.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 5c | 254.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 10c | 239.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.