TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc00…6685

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$30.47
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.41
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$8.05
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.52
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.8
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.49
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.66
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.64
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60.9%+$52.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.