TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Howard Bison, Michigan Wolverines
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,871,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,871,645 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Howard Bison2c949,885$17,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,929.164334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Howard Bison0c871,515$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.8140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Howard Bison2c385,522$7,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,262.1914930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Howard Bison1c152,848$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.94628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Howard Bison2c121,181$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.4725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Howard Bison1c109,626$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.881225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Howard Bison2c62,015$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3834343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Howard Bison3c38,145$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed Howard Bison2c36,283$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.753129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Howard Bison2c33,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.739711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2925…d732backed Howard Bison0c19,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Howard Bison2c17,974$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.772958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4282…3455backed Howard Bison0c17,964$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c93…f0f6backed Howard Bison2c17,155$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a0…0ae9backed Howard Bison0c16,125$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+228.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…3ae7backed Howard Bison0c14,785$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Howard Bison1c14,374$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.91,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Howard Bison2c12,999$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.953154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Howard Bison2c12,183$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.894744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…27d2backed Howard Bison1c11,798$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…0ec1backed Howard Bison2c11,190$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa5…888fbacked Howard Bison2c11,110$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.560%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Howard Bison1c11,037$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.486336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Howard Bison1c9,995$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.932425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Howard Bison2c9,993$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.88287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3698…3fc8backed Howard Bison0c9,665$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.96156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+57.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…f3f3backed Howard Bison2c8,749$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.822913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3871…2a0cbacked Howard Bison2c8,415$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ae…4879backed Howard Bison1c8,239$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.95825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Howard Bison4c7,960$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.494729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Howard Bison1c7,314$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.073661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Howard Bison2c7,010$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.927231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Howard Bison1c6,903$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.845054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4595…df87backed Howard Bison2c6,833$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.82425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Howard Bison2c6,482$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.49626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Howard Bison3c6,445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.794746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked Howard Bison2c6,396$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.09520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+124.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d9…7574backed Howard Bison2c6,283$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Howard Bison2c6,131$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.232,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Howard Bison2c5,879$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97a…ee37backed Howard Bison1c5,767$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Howard Bison1c5,699$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.954719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Howard Bison2c5,670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.948130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…67a8backed Howard Bison1c5,332$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.521811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b62…daccbacked Howard Bison1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Howard Bison1c4,998$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.972917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed Howard Bison2c4,997$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Howard Bison3c4,766$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1260%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Howard Bison3c4,314$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.333542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Howard Bison1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Howard Bison2c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f3…d859backed Howard Bison1c3,999$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Howard Bison1c3,999$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.19130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Howard Bison2c3,996$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1139454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Howard Bison1c3,570$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.985024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c9…7863backed Howard Bison1c3,548$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ff…9552backed Howard Bison1c3,095$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Howard Bison1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Howard Bison1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf827…7992backed Howard Bison1c2,998$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Howard Bison3c2,997$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Howard Bison1c2,996$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.649545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Howard Bison2c2,877$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd033…668cbacked Howard Bison1c2,557$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.623218.8%6 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8b…3d0cbacked Howard Bison1c2,499$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Howard Bison2c2,498$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.979051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba74…0b38backed Howard Bison1c2,494$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7f…3f13backed Howard Bison1c2,322$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Howard Bison1c2,215$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Howard Bison1c2,201$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.726142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…28e0backed Howard Bison3c2,191$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Howard Bison1c2,112$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.432123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Howard Bison1c2,109$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.393993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4361…873fbacked Howard Bison1c2,003$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Howard Bison1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Howard Bison1c1,999$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Howard Bison1c1,999$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.995117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8b…7677backed Howard Bison2c1,999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…8c73backed Howard Bison3c1,980$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Howard Bison3c1,960$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.951363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Howard Bison2c1,817$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b9…0863backed Howard Bison1c1,807$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Howard Bison2c1,764$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Howard Bison1c1,714$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5816341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Howard Bison2c1,696$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa92b…8cb5backed Howard Bison1c1,582$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c31…40b3backed Howard Bison2c1,578$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Howard Bison1c1,550$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.927938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked Howard Bison1c1,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac10…4ddabacked Howard Bison1c1,427$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Howard Bison1c1,413$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Howard Bison2c1,370$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.657753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Howard Bison1c1,264$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.997319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Howard Bison2c1,249$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9815240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a9…5976backed Howard Bison2c1,149$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Howard Bison1c1,143$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Howard Bison2c1,129$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63638.9%14 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc26d…555abacked Howard Bison2c1,119$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…defbbacked Howard Bison2c1,107$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.03540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+291.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Howard Bison1c1,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.