Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d11b97c51a5fd3a97cf159c2047d3aa89e0913523e8937d141a6f7460f1877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,875 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 12,570$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 50c | 4,433$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.87 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed Over | 49c | 3,931$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 3,320$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.96 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 51c | 3,073$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 2,831$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.82 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,424$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,720$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 1,628$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.94 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 1,289$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 37c | 1,276$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.08 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 50c | 1,233$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.39 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 51c | 1,020$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5e9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Under | 51c | 995.62$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 790.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…3df4backed Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 50c | 727$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 50c | 725.04$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.52 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 685.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.67 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 49c | 604.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 49c | 556.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Over | 50c | 507$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 500.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 54c | 476.17$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 77c | 418.97$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Under | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 253.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 54c | 244.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 233.58$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 77c | 173.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Under | 18c | 145.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 115.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Over | 50c | 100.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 49c | 84.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 72.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 71.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 46.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 46.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 58c | 39.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 39.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 52c | 30.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 76c | 30.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 29.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…aa17backed Under | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 45c | 28.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Over | 77c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5this page
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.