Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156cdf56872b651d726bd18c049dac055d9a035d02c987147f1165c7198ab9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Michigan Wolverines, Howard Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Howard Bison | 53c | 30,156$16,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,060.35 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 19,943$10,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,170.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 11,671$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Howard Bison | 50c | 9,913$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.25 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 4,956$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.7 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 4,904$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 3,770$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Howard Bison | 49c | 3,749$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.24 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Howard Bison | 49c | 3,689$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.59 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Howard Bison | 48c | 2,394$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.23 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Howard Bison | 48c | 2,197$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 1,145$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Howard Bison | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 615.15$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Michigan Wolverines | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 510.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 462.87$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked Howard Bison | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 355$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 237.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 229.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 210.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Howard Bison | 48c | 201.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Howard Bison | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Howard Bison | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Howard Bison | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 197.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Howard Bison | 48c | 194.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…e8a3backed Howard Bison | 50c | 194.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Howard Bison | 47c | 128.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Michigan Wolverines | 41c | 108.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 104.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 101.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Michigan Wolverines | 12c | 101.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Michigan Wolverines | 14c | 101.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Howard Bison | 50c | 100.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Howard Bison | 64c | 99.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 80.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Howard Bison | 47c | 79.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 78.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 70.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Howard Bison | 74c | 49.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines | 42c | 44.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Howard Bison | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed Howard Bison | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Howard Bison | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Howard Bison | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Howard Bison | 55c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Howard Bison | 50c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Howard Bison | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Howard Bison | 49c | 21.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Howard Bison | 50c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)this page
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.