Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0599124c333b09185e296e32ebc6e628fcd5495ecf8567642fdffe47cca11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Michigan Wolverines, Howard Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,045 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 104,811$51,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,357.44 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Howard Bison | 51c | 88,322$45,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,200.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Howard Bison | 54c | 33,067$17,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,223.87 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Howard Bison | 53c | 31,572$16,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,838.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 20,628$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 9,913$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.25 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 9,475$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.09 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Howard Bison | 50c | 8,323$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 7,929$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 6,980$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.63 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Howard Bison | 55c | 5,107$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,824$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,458$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.8 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Howard Bison | 50c | 3,039$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.91 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Howard Bison | 51c | 2,935$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Howard Bison | 50c | 2,900$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.67 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Howard Bison | 49c | 2,494$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Howard Bison | 50c | 2,356$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.79 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Howard Bison | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Howard Bison | 53c | 1,853$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.05 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 1,472$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 1,296$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,198$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.42 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.92 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…c3b3backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…01ccbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Michigan Wolverines | 24c | 996.28$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 910.08$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Howard Bison | 64c | 857.68$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 614.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Michigan Wolverines | 11c | 543.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 516.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…044ebacked Howard Bison | 50c | 505.42$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Howard Bison | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Howard Bison | 53c | 488.7$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked Howard Bison | 53c | 465.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 448.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 448.35$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 405.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 374$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Howard Bison | 53c | 300.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Howard Bison | 53c | 287.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 273.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 263.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Howard Bison | 53c | 243.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Howard Bison | 49c | 212.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Howard Bison | 54c | 211.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 210.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Howard Bison | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan Wolverines | 12c | 199.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…7992backed Howard Bison | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Howard Bison | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Howard Bison | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Howard Bison | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Howard Bison | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Howard Bison | 54c | 146.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 121.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Michigan Wolverines | 22c | 119.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Howard Bison | 50c | 118.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…b136backed Howard Bison | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…8232backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…5394backed Howard Bison | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 97.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 94.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 92.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Howard Bison | 67c | 87.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 83.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…7db4backed Howard Bison | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Howard Bison | 53c | 67.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Michigan Wolverines | 35c | 62.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Howard Bison | 52c | 62.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Howard Bison | 53c | 61.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Howard Bison | 56c | 57.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Michigan Wolverines | 42c | 57.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Howard Bison | 67c | 55.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Howard Bison | 75c | 52.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Howard Bison | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Howard Bison | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Howard Bison | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…a68cbacked Howard Bison | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Howard Bison | 53c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)this page
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.