Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98e31d95733702687301fbb701ec462c0a64b46a8dfd5d8550b05785286b4b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $893,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $986,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 768 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 40c | 161,631$64,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,953.64 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 141,193$87,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,175.97 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 64,526$16,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,895.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 39c | 40,069$15,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,826.88 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 65c | 30,814$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,813.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 23,271$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,088.82 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 23,162$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 59c | 15,403$9,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.09 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 38c | 13,320$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.7 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 12,473$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 10,728$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.49 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 38c | 8,500$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed No | 41c | 8,416$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 42c | 8,026$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 30c | 7,850$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 36c | 7,307$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 36c | 7,020$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 5,726$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.47 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 5,483$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.1 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 39c | 5,100$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 59c | 4,592$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 37c | 4,336$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.21 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 78c | 4,244$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.1 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 4,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 60c | 4,150$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 42c | 4,060$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed No | 40c | 3,954$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 3,953$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +1,047.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 61c | 3,607$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 59c | 2,974$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.19 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 63c | 2,900$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2e34backed Yes | 65c | 2,879$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 61c | 2,869$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 2,860$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…5d2cbacked No | 36c | 2,827$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,819$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.41 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 60c | 2,582$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.8 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 2,530$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.07 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 2,479$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…b132backed Yes | 65c | 2,437$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 58c | 2,325$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 65c | 2,294$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 63c | 2,214$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 3c | 2,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…6b6cbacked No | 36c | 2,186$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f835backed Yes | 61c | 2,137$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 58c | 2,053$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 2,040$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.8 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4e…a689backed No | 39c | 2,016$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 62c | 1,985$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…813ebacked No | 36c | 1,889$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…4abbbacked No | 39c | 1,875$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…94a9backed Yes | 65c | 1,837$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…33e9backed No | 36c | 1,797$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3b…4b00backed Yes | 61c | 1,754$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,721$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 79c | 1,694$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.52 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 37c | 1,602$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.74 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 60c | 1,596$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 60c | 1,591$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed Yes | 60c | 1,556$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…5f6dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 37c | 1,503$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 61c | 1,498$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 63c | 1,400$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,274$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…84d2backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 61c | 1,229$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.26 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 15c | 1,206$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…99d4backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…c6b6backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.