Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b6552082268a0629773f4712ccb0a034162cb21f9c7964a0edf92373ae7f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 78c | 13,525$10,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 21c | 9,436$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.57 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 9,313$7,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 8,099$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.44 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 7,869$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.46 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 23c | 6,304$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 23c | 3,391$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,545$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.35 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 2,347$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.54 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 2,126$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…f031backed No | 78c | 2,002$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…ec67backed Yes | 22c | 1,993$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 1,857$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 78c | 1,754$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 23c | 1,674$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 77c | 1,625$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 1,551$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.23 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 1,038$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 79c | 843$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 821.63$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 785.23$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 612.24$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 561.8$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 540.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 23c | 532.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 426$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 419.5$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 399.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 375.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 373$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 22c | 372.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 318$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 23c | 294.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 277$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes | 22c | 239.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Yes | 22c | 228.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 78c | 224.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes | 17c | 174.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 22c | 162.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 147.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 136.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 115.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 78c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked No | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…3cacbacked No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 104.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 23c | 103.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…79e1backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 88.9%32 W · 4 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Yes | 23c | 86.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Yes | 17c | 62.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 60.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 52.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.