TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93a0…3cac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT6765.7%44 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.02
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.24
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$34.7
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$31.03
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.05
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.9
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.99
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.49
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+43.1%+$31.6
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33.6
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.85
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$37.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.6%+$38.92
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$121.5
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+146.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.15
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.2%+$56.57
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+40.3%+$4.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Lilli Taggerbacked Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.