Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52375ebb69f58f6383e956a0636dee8ba47760d10e949fb73bf1b6923354c94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 7,000$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.34 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 53c | 6,200$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.95 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 5,817$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.21 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 3,570$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 3,040$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,968$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.25 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,251$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.92 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,162$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.77 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,633$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.66 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,464$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.61 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,270$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,253$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.09 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,251$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,234$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.82 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…294abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,208$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a64…022dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 984.41$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 895.34$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…188bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 858.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 845.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 826.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons | 72c | 723.61$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 44c | 707$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 623.79$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.83 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 574.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…a61ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 549.77$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 507.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.19 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 452.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 444.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 438.25$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 430$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 405.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Team Falcons | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Falcons | 71c | 385.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Falcons | 74c | 381.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 367$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 352.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 329.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 325.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Falcons | 28c | 314.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 56c | 311.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 295.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Falcons | 68c | 287.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 66c | 270$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 250.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 238.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 238.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 230.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 215.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 199.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 198.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Falcons | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Falcons | 22c | 173.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 166.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 67c | 161.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Falcons | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 147.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 143.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 138.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 131.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed Team Falcons | 16c | 130.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Team Falcons | 73c | 123.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Falcons | 72c | 119.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 41c | 117.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 113.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…3cacbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 105$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…4fafbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 103.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 101.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…7941backed Team Falcons | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccfd…23fcbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 99.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 96.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 72.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Falcons | 34c | 71.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 70.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 65.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 63.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3db0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Team Falcons | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 50c | 61.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…2794backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 60.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9c75backed Team Falcons | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.