CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Prestige (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86cdeb336ec0b83ccb809482cfbf2e712d41d612054ddf1f105df24046637b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Prestige | 43c | 13,067$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.72 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked megoshort | 58c | 2,113$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.49 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Prestige | 17c | 1,558$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 57c | 1,550$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked megoshort | 53c | 1,517$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.99 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Prestige | 42c | 1,085$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed megoshort | 58c | 1,027$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed megoshort | 58c | 490.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Prestige | 29c | 470.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed megoshort | 50c | 385.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed megoshort | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked megoshort | 58c | 346$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…6224backed megoshort | 28c | 341.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed megoshort | 53c | 304.58$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed megoshort | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Prestige | 39c | 292.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Prestige | 40c | 290.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed megoshort | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed megoshort | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed megoshort | 46c | 258.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed megoshort | 56c | 240.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Prestige | 40c | 233.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed megoshort | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked megoshort | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked megoshort | 42c | 209.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…4267backed Prestige | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Prestige | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked megoshort | 54c | 195.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Prestige | 44c | 191.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…2626backed megoshort | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked megoshort | 58c | 168.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked megoshort | 67c | 162.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed megoshort | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Prestige | 46c | 153.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed megoshort | 60c | 119.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked megoshort | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked megoshort | 58c | 98.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Prestige | 61c | 95.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…474cbacked megoshort | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked megoshort | 38c | 89.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x836a…c9a1backed Prestige | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Prestige | 54c | 75.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed megoshort | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…3cacbacked megoshort | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked Prestige | 49c | 51.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked megoshort | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…e121backed megoshort | 71c | 49.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Prestige | 41c | 44.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Prestige | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked megoshort | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed megoshort | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked megoshort | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed megoshort | 28c | 36.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed megoshort | 53c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Prestige | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked megoshort | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked Prestige | 62c | 25.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked megoshort | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738bbacked megoshort | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed megoshort | 77c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed megoshort | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.