TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Trail Blazers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,432,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,496,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets71c128,520$91,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,270.730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Trail Blazers29c84,376$24,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,469.018944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers26c65,207$17,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets73c61,719$44,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,832.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers27c61,584$16,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,627.791,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers26c59,342$15,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,242.5587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Trail Blazers27c51,136$13,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,806.6317646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Trail Blazers27c45,938$12,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,590.4132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets71c40,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers27c38,038$10,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,204.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers14c35,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Hornets75c34,063$25,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,515.6710952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers8c30,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Trail Blazers30c26,667$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa7…47d9backed Trail Blazers36c22,500$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c56…ca1dbacked Hornets64c22,500$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Trail Blazers1c20,286$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.293179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Trail Blazers28c20,236$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.3741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Trail Blazers26c20,000$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,289.998441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Hornets74c20,000$14,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Trail Blazers0c15,383$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.545213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets72c13,084$9,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.4128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers13c12,839$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.034,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers8c12,089$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets73c11,601$8,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets73c11,569$8,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.6351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Trail Blazers1c10,930$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Trail Blazers17c10,185$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.510334%35 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Hornets73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Hornets72c9,922$7,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.2613959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Trail Blazers26c9,451$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Hornets80c8,100$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63022159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers29c8,050$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…34d7backed Hornets72c8,047$5,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.241872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers25c8,040$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6319…4fd7backed Hornets74c8,000$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets74c6,479$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.5844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets72c6,300$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.9829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets75c6,135$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.0341954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers29c5,843$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.6251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Trail Blazers26c5,800$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5082231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa31…924fbacked Hornets74c5,795$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.72070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Trail Blazers16c5,746$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.41330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Hornets73c5,561$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.4719958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets70c5,555$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Trail Blazers30c5,064$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Trail Blazers30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Trail Blazers28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hornets74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9914245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked Hornets74c4,700$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.992075%15 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers27c4,471$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb836…9e4ebacked Trail Blazers26c4,345$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Trail Blazers8c4,100$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32824151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Hornets71c4,039$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.378063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Trail Blazers26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Hornets73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Trail Blazers26c3,976$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.6527424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets71c3,899$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers18c3,864$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.6928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…b379backed Trail Blazers28c3,854$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets64c3,789$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.9635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Trail Blazers27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers0c3,674$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.128820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Hornets73c3,538$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.7617141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets74c3,446$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.9527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Trail Blazers29c3,153$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Trail Blazers23c3,072$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2417436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Hornets74c3,035$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.6218452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Hornets73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers9c2,874$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc265…634dbacked Trail Blazers26c2,700$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ac…6aa4backed Hornets74c2,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Trail Blazers13c2,630$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7790%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets74c2,600$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Trail Blazers19c2,582$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Hornets73c2,541$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.13256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8b…9e6abacked Trail Blazers20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Trail Blazers26c2,466$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.0510641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Trail Blazers29c2,434$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.854643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…17bdbacked Hornets74c2,400$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e93…8b34backed Trail Blazers26c2,400$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Trail Blazers29c2,398$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.5473131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Hornets73c2,340$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.9231453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07a…fb98backed Trail Blazers26c2,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce7c…8a2abacked Hornets74c2,263$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hornets74c2,200$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Trail Blazers26c2,200$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.998640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets70c2,198$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.381,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe921…5c89backed Hornets74c2,196$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…b3bfbacked Trail Blazers26c2,187$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c4…efd9backed Hornets74c2,150$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hornets67c2,126$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.6216440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Trail Blazers29c2,087$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers15c2,059$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers12c2,037$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.