NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2d6a349fd17c7a2d74d895cfbbbe61878e35e400606333f3bbf71132933c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 12,714$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,253.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 49c | 8,871$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.93 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 8,522$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.39 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 2,845$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 2,323$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,659$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,533$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 1,311$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 847$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 826.04$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 747.02$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 745.42$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 712.06$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 54c | 643$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.52 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 42c | 515$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 46c | 472.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 46c | 463$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 52c | 381.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 54c | 341.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…840cbacked Over | 54c | 310.7$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 259.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 70c | 212.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 205.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 29c | 185$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 51c | 167.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 34c | 138.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 53c | 131.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Under | 46c | 117.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Over | 54c | 117.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…5116backed Over | 27c | 86.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 75.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 50c | 61.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 53.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 60c | 53.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 38c | 45.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…58e9backed Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over | 55c | 34.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 53c | 31.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Over | 54c | 30.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Over | 54c | 30.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Over | 54c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 54c | 27.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 47c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Trail Blazers vs. HornetsHornets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 201.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.