NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37645408e7dbf61d3a79fff66bfbc3110318511486605a6ce4a828783f5e629f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,081$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 50c | 5,749$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Hornets | 45c | 2,291$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.14 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets | 57c | 1,600$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.13 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Hornets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,020$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.72 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 908.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Hornets | 46c | 819.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 49c | 681.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 640.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 45c | 638.86$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 616.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 549.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 52c | 507.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hornets | 60c | 503.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 489.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets | 54c | 430.23$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 400$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 299.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 251.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Hornets | 22c | 235.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Hornets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 45c | 196.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Hornets | 44c | 190.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 180.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 177.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 44c | 175.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 159.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 149.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 49c | 133.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 125.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Hornets | 48c | 122.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Hornets | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Hornets | 47c | 108.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Hornets | 44c | 99.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 47c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 47c | 97.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 83.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Hornets | 45c | 73.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…b1f0backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 62.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 57.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 57.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 45c | 54.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Hornets | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 51.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hornets | 43c | 50.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Hornets | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hornets | 46c | 47.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…30ffbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Hornets | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hornets | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 43c | 35.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…831abacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 35.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a622backed Hornets | 49c | 33.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Hornets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 31.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Hornets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Hornets | 43c | 28.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Hornets | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Hornets | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Hornets | 76c | 22.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hornets | 51c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…1aa6backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 21.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Hornets | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Trail Blazers vs. HornetsHornets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 201.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.