TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under54c38,854$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,853.794951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c16,818$8,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,166.41,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c14,941$6,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,734.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c11,777$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,474.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c10,741$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c8,005$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Over45c5,001$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+60.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over47c3,213$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.0787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,466$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c2,051$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Under55c1,999$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under54c1,844$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.619556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c1,779$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Under55c1,602$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,544$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under53c1,496$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.746756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Under55c1,398$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,353$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c1,213$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c1,072$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Over48c1,014$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5210849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c994$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over51c990$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c920.74$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.543,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c869.1$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.551,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c852.38$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under52c738.17$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddde…70a4backed Over50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8885…3ec9backed Under50c708$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb58…d31abacked Over50c698$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c681$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c630.72$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.122,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e7…8aaebacked Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…d288backed Over50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c86…6d97backed Over50c612$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23e…4b00backed Under50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f3…c498backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under52c599.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…6859backed Under50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1515…a33dbacked Under50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd8…304ebacked Over50c556$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…d57cbacked Under50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over48c533.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.915753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed Under50c530$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026f…2a5fbacked Over50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b96…294abacked Under50c524$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7928…8af4backed Over50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f43…beddbacked Over50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc4…01a4backed Under50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x058c…3423backed Under50c498$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a0…92d1backed Over50c494.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7823…479abacked Over50c490$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f1…8571backed Over50c488$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486c…d48dbacked Over50c487$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4f…2e2bbacked Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da0…f1b4backed Over50c477.96$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f2…b95dbacked Under50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce0…c5b1backed Under50c472$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5971…1960backed Under50c470$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc01…fa5dbacked Under50c468$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc461…9db7backed Over50c466$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…6719backed Over50c465$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d6…ce3cbacked Over50c464$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…a2a3backed Under50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42cd…d786backed Over50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…793dbacked Under50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084f…d7fdbacked Over50c456$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…0566backed Under50c454$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…7110backed Under50c452$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c1…d69cbacked Over50c452$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Over49c446.94$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2199944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ec…ba02backed Under50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3655…3838backed Under50c443$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd739…29dcbacked Under50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3698…05bfbacked Over50c434$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe8…92bbbacked Under50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf63f…a715backed Under50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1454…7581backed Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc232…d164backed Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673f…eb91backed Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c05…4eccbacked Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…8654backed Over50c428$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4c…5181backed Over50c426$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…a440backed Over50c426$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ade…4b8abacked Over50c424$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c0…8b10backed Under50c422$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf3…c440backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b7aebacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731f…2936backed Under50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…987cbacked Over50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c411.33$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.982,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba6…5534backed Over50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd35a…4fc4backed Over50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…848fbacked Under50c401$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9570…1536backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2d…bbeebacked Over50c398$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99b…debfbacked Over50c398$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c397.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.