TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under52c87,683$45,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,742.434951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c29,366$13,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,719.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c11,067$5,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.2548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over52c9,597$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c8,320$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,326.351,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c6,176$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.412,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c6,082$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.461,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c5,803$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over45c5,450$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.497653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c5,212$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under49c4,999$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.7277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over51c4,220$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c4,205$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c4,064$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.1287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c3,903$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c3,118$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.783,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Over52c3,025$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over51c2,670$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.718747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,052$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,917$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over51c1,500$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.0843051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under50c1,388$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.466756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c1,385$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.5549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,293$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c799$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under54c737.02$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under48c702.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5624050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.241,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c481.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over45c438.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5519435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c404$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.041,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c358.2$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c336.56$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.183,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under50c273.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c256.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c250.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c233.49$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.741,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c216.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9419950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9853951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over51c194.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c170.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.421,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c162.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c159.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c148.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5235843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under49c141$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c127.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over51c122.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3610149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c121.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under53c108.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.466963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under50c107.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6921854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503622.2%8 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Under51c101.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.229545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.918651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over50c89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.132352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over48c87.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7739047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Over14c86.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c70.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5714143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c62.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Under50c60.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.692828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under49c60.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0207…1aa6backed Over51c59.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c57.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5625655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c52.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3830151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under49c52.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under50c51.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c48.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c0…fb99backed Over50c47.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under48c44.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9629243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Over49c43.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over51c38.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7945542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over51c37.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c32.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.