TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under55c5,432$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.144951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.3812745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c3,815$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c1,380$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c1,286$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c884.11$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902e…b242backed Over48c695$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc2…3723backed Under52c681$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6289…faf5backed Over48c680$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6501…8175backed Over48c678$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf830…4ce4backed Over48c662$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f02…58dbbacked Under52c661$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c660.15$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x931b…4e4fbacked Over48c653$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e8cabacked Under52c651$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05c…ace1backed Under52c651$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa452…4062backed Under52c645$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b38…526fbacked Over48c645$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf806…bdf2backed Over48c642$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…484bbacked Under52c638$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8a…74a7backed Under52c638$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…091ebacked Under52c636$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21b…e93abacked Over48c633$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cf…0322backed Under52c632$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf9…abfebacked Under52c632$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…d84dbacked Over48c624$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd281…ade6backed Under52c623$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb37a…d295backed Over48c621$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…9af8backed Under52c615$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838f…d17bbacked Over48c615$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over42c612.28$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae2…422cbacked Under52c612$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…a41dbacked Under52c612$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c611.24$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…8237backed Over48c606$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…5cf9backed Under52c605$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x186d…cd28backed Under52c604$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0c…f525backed Over48c603$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa234…45dabacked Under52c603$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…9562backed Under52c603$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07c…8b3ebacked Under52c602$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e01…f61cbacked Over48c602$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…2f37backed Over48c601$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…0367backed Over48c601$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8d…9966backed Under52c597$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8de…241bbacked Under52c595$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823b…96c9backed Over48c594$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c52…c59abacked Over48c591$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893c…f047backed Over48c587$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…e7edbacked Over48c580$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6418…e16dbacked Over48c576$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e69…3949backed Over48c573$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece5…bcffbacked Over48c571$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b4…6daabacked Under52c568$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83f…1ba5backed Over48c566$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8943…f9bcbacked Over48c566$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de1…db81backed Over48c563$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…aacabacked Under52c561$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…d1fcbacked Under52c559$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2281…9bcabacked Under52c556$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261a…37eabacked Over48c554$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ad54backed Under52c552$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d5…b643backed Under52c546$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…0778backed Over48c540$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5407…547fbacked Over48c538$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1645…96a3backed Over48c534$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…bf73backed Over48c532$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaeb…21e9backed Under52c528$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42eb…4513backed Over48c526$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb095…f816backed Under52c525$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8691…4fa2backed Under52c523$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071e…6d26backed Over48c522$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb967…4c6dbacked Under52c521$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…f7c3backed Over48c521$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…8ce9backed Over48c517$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba78…56fdbacked Under52c516$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab5…5ec3backed Under52c516$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x278d…7a23backed Under52c516$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9309…a749backed Under52c514$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2b…f2aabacked Over48c513$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…92abbacked Under52c513$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd088…fab5backed Under52c513$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac32…d0aebacked Over48c511$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…c4a1backed Over48c509$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85db…b04fbacked Under52c509$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…3426backed Over48c508$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5406…f3d1backed Over48c505$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…343abacked Under52c505$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…cda1backed Under52c501$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200c…9cd5backed Under52c501$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c7…dd9ebacked Over48c499$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…c949backed Over48c492$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…1015backed Under52c491$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0e…4aefbacked Under52c491$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…3cf1backed Under52c487$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c4…cdb5backed Under52c487$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd87b…2621backed Under52c482$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf275…a2b0backed Over48c482$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…f39fbacked Under52c481$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1a…42a6backed Over48c481$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.