MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a0b8fdf49f8dc43ad25f0b9c653a4b83af87fa98994efdd0033a4b86579c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 108,326$27,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,081.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 61,628$35,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 38,611$18,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,365.13 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 34,949$26,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,038.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 34,119$16,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,254.91 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 33,221$24,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,671.79 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 26,059$8,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,402.42 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 23,256$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 21,983$8,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,084.48 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 21,176$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.8 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 19,002$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,154.64 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 16,770$9,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,873.16 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.96 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,611$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.71 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 11,642$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 10,745$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.53 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 9,307$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 8,510$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.54 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 8,215$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 8,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 7,839$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.94 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,747$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 5,691$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.86 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,397$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.22 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 5,369$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 5,100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 4,960$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.78 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 4,479$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.5 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 4,348$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 3,857$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,708$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.38 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,493$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.22 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,024$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.13 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 3,000$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,765$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.95 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 2,328$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.7 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,263$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.09 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,108$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.79 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,060$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…a420backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,060$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,040$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…4729backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,007$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,927$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.95 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,873$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.22 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,848$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,774$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,766$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.54 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,721$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.7 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,605$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.25 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,569$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.67 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,451$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.38 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,446$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.16 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,407$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,356$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.08 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,344$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.26 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,230$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,217$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.34 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,160$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,093$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,058$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,008$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.71 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 914.77$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 864.5$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.28 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 863.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.27 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 854.91$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.11 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 820.38$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 812.86$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 758.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 747.84$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 740.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 707$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 688.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 638.59$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 631.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 346 | 45.1%156 W · 190 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 624.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 607.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 592.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 575.77$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.89 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 573.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 568.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 557.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 539.78$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.