Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4581a1ff96a10e1717e9c8e7ab7e3eb7f8acf17866333800a25c4c8693e1cf35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taggerof Pigossi, Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pigossi | 13c | 10,844$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tagger | 66c | 3,069$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Tagger | 60c | 2,908$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.38 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Pigossi | 47c | 2,852$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.89 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Pigossi | 33c | 2,312$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Pigossi | 43c | 1,835$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Pigossi | 26c | 1,600$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Tagger | 76c | 1,006$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Pigossi | 40c | 998.69$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.67 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tagger | 70c | 883.21$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b2cebacked Tagger | 73c | 855.56$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tagger | 64c | 814.06$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tagger | 73c | 541.92$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Pigossi | 32c | 400.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pigossi | 25c | 388$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Pigossi | 27c | 375.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Pigossi | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pigossi | 14c | 342.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Pigossi | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…472cbacked Pigossi | 40c | 299.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…fe70backed Pigossi | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tagger | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pigossi | 40c | 268.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed Tagger | 71c | 241.59$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…7f3cbacked Pigossi | 7c | 235.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…1a78backed Pigossi | 39c | 231.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…d6d3backed Pigossi | 27c | 224.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tagger | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tagger | 72c | 193.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Pigossi | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3e86backed Tagger | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Tagger | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Tagger | 78c | 153.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Tagger | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pigossi | 25c | 131.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Pigossi | 12c | 128.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tagger | 41c | 118.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Pigossi | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Pigossi | 38c | 112.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Tagger | 71c | 102.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…e53ebacked Tagger | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Tagger | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Pigossi | 37c | 97.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pigossi | 23c | 94.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Tagger | 66c | 91.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Pigossi | 26c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Pigossi | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Tagger | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Pigossi | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Pigossi | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Pigossi | 45c | 57.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Pigossi | 39c | 54.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tagger | 75c | 51.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…3cacbacked Pigossi | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Pigossi | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Tagger | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Pigossi | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Tagger | 64c | 40.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed Tagger | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Tagger | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Tagger | 48c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Tagger | 66c | 35.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…2189backed Pigossi | 30c | 33.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tagger | 71c | 30.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…7303backed Tagger | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…d53cbacked Tagger | 64c | 29.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…d8adbacked Tagger | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tagger | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Tagger | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…682cbacked Tagger | 79c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Lilli Taggerthis page
- Pigossi vs. Tagger: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pigossi vs TaggerPigossi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.