NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19bcc01e456986aca8b3997c493970643e151a9d575ed18b809e7a5c67f113ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,304,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,304,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 272,535$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…6585backed Yes | 0c | 97,990$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…d04dbacked Yes | 0c | 90,917$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd62…2c9dbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…524cbacked Yes | 0c | 77,912$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68eb…9b8bbacked Yes | 0c | 75,256$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…a453backed Yes | 0c | 75,256$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…e2c5backed Yes | 0c | 75,256$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…98c6backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…5877backed Yes | 0c | 72,581$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…ea73backed Yes | 0c | 71,013$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…8fd4backed Yes | 0c | 70,600$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9461backed Yes | 0c | 70,346$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…9531backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…6685backed Yes | 0c | 69,979$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…3969backed Yes | 0c | 69,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…e410backed Yes | 0c | 69,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…26ccbacked Yes | 0c | 69,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…f9e2backed Yes | 0c | 69,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…096abacked Yes | 0c | 69,720$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe873…660abacked Yes | 0c | 69,720$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…aaccbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…4531backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…1d74backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…156abacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…f1edbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6338…c6e4backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…ace5backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…87eebacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…7836backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…6cadbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…38ebbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…33c1backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8036…7720backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…8823backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…d0a1backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…24abbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…d580backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…01a5backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…296abacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…0628backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…a06ebacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d8…060bbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…38d1backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…43dfbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…5550backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…eb97backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…1e53backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…a069backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…eccdbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d9a1backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…481cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…1b43backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…1b83backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…8ae8backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…6da7backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…7647backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…8596backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…8eaabacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…cd65backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…0160backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbf…a409backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…9bd6backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…7c5cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…f4bdbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…78e5backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ef41backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…2d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…5ecbbacked Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…b0a4backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…38a4backed Yes | 0c | 69,210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…c578backed Yes | 0c | 68,927$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02b…be0bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,924$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…dc9bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed Yes | 0c | 67,363$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…f1bfbacked Yes | 0c | 66,689$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…5a67backed Yes | 0c | 66,094$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…0360backed Yes | 0c | 66,088$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…5205backed Yes | 0c | 66,088$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked Yes | 0c | 64,077$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…8167backed Yes | 0c | 63,886$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 56,257$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…ca51backed Yes | 0c | 53,050$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…12e1backed Yes | 0c | 47,111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3134backed Yes | 0c | 44,397$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…0abcbacked Yes | 0c | 40,236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…0defbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…5921backed Yes | 0c | 34,350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…b0b7backed Yes | 0c | 32,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…d73abacked Yes | 0c | 31,078$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…c4f7backed Yes | 0c | 30,689$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 29,391$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…dce0backed Yes | 0c | 27,668$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…c75abacked Yes | 0c | 27,264$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…3ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 24,660$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…3f78backed Yes | 0c | 23,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…1681backed Yes | 0c | 23,039$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…4d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,039$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…1669backed Yes | 0c | 23,007$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.