AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,753,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,962,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,753,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 968 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba10…cf10backed No | 45c | 94,200$42,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,766.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…e9ebbacked Yes | 55c | 32,500$17,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,755 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 73c | 32,273$23,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,644.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…1e65backed Yes | 55c | 32,100$17,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,573.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…d706backed Yes | 55c | 29,600$16,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,438.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed No | 26c | 14,940$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.23 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…aab5backed No | 2c | 13,595$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 9c | 12,500$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.62 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 78c | 12,346$9,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 68c | 12,074$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.44 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 32c | 11,534$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.22 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked Yes | 6c | 9,535$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925.45 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 71c | 9,427$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.88 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…d626backed No | 14c | 9,050$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 58c | 9,038$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.95 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed Yes | 78c | 8,819$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 49c | 8,362$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.97 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 3c | 8,200$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Yes | 61c | 8,136$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…6f73backed Yes | 72c | 7,661$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed No | 14c | 7,549$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 26c | 7,492$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.43 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bb…c186backed No | 27c | 6,637$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 6,461$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 6,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 66c | 6,253$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.69 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 6,057$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 75c | 5,995$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 69c | 5,705$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.32 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 63c | 5,600$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 20c | 5,430$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 76c | 5,231$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…faeebacked No | 1c | 5,175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 64c | 5,147$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…22f3backed Yes | 2c | 5,100$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +572.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 65c | 4,892$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.31 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…27e3backed Yes | 77c | 4,878$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…1c76backed Yes | 60c | 4,782$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 36c | 4,744$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.65 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 10c | 4,743$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes | 76c | 4,634$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 71c | 4,624$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.09 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 70c | 4,236$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…833ebacked Yes | 76c | 4,191$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed No | 1c | 4,173$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…4c03backed No | 1c | 3,925$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 3,727$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 57c | 3,675$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 50c | 3,539$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.21 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 3,536$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 60c | 3,518$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,396$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.44 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 44c | 3,194$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.4 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…2b23backed No | 0c | 3,120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…d248backed Yes | 65c | 3,058$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 19c | 3,038$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.64 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 76c | 3,016$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.53 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 2,924$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.56 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,903$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.34 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 2,864$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 64c | 2,780$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.85 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…a3ccbacked Yes | 71c | 2,737$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…1798backed Yes | 1c | 2,725$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +8,225.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed No | 4c | 2,716$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 24c | 2,709$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.6 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 19c | 2,700$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 70c | 2,676$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.61 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 56c | 2,489$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.31 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 2,455$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 5c | 2,437$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 2,396$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.83 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 2,279$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…e7a5backed Yes | 72c | 2,210$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,103$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed Yes | 76c | 2,100$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 41c | 2,044$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…c50ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 4c | 1,914$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…d4b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,844$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +810.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…12c6backed No | 1c | 1,780$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…0aa0backed No | 39c | 1,690$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…0b9abacked Yes | 40c | 1,651$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…cef6backed No | 6c | 1,632$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…fce8backed Yes | 4c | 1,610$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +1,177.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…d8f1backed Yes | 58c | 1,589$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 80c | 1,572$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…1767backed Yes | 5c | 1,559$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…7f1ebacked No | 26c | 1,556$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,537$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.32 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 38c | 1,530$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…c01cbacked No | 4c | 1,503$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +1,572.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…92b6backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,492$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.17 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1d…8212backed No | 2c | 1,469$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 17c | 1,463$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.46 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4276…65ccbacked Yes | 36c | 1,445$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…8b21backed Yes | 2c | 1,430$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +395.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…fe77backed Yes | 7c | 1,424$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +852.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.