TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes9c23,693$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.32110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d9…a023backed Yes2c15,336$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Yes15c13,996$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.423737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5294…d176backed Yes2c3,337$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.760%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca0…e94cbacked Yes5c2,910$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes4c2,757$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.572240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c2,690$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.128236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes3c2,250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.896741.8%28 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe055…8df9backed Yes3c2,205$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1670%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes67c2,072$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.723828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460d…8ddbbacked Yes1c1,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b88…86c4backed Yes9c1,500$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes5c1,168$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8613225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0f…59a4backed Yes6c1,030$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Yes15c1,010$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.28120%0 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c967.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.882543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c931.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.512117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes56c914.37$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5824736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x978e…80bcbacked Yes62c880.6$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.793420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes3c859.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1231635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d6…861ebacked Yes14c703.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes15c681.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes3c666.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes30c641.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…92e9backed Yes3c607.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes3c600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes9c599.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes6c559.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5422029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9746…d36cbacked Yes8c514.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No72c461.82$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed Yes56c433$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.762638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f44…084cbacked Yes5c396.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c396.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes16c385$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.532630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa224…8c93backed Yes26c382.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No78c355.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed No40c340.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.634723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes68c333.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.936426.6%17 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00af…42f7backed Yes5c315.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6537.5%4 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…72e4backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.31030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes51c294.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.888555.3%47 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Yes65c280.59$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.171947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked No78c280.57$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.623444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03bd…b422backed Yes6c251.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+343.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes20c247.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.684766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c17…8372backed Yes45c245.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f96…a226backed Yes28c239.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.598051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…18c6backed Yes42c227.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5073…16a7backed No37c226.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.183246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No44c213.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.745442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes52c210.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.831838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2651…1b4ebacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes47c179.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No68c167.63$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4315356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6670…e1d1backed Yes16c157.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdacd…df2dbacked Yes16c156.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No40c155.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.149418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d1…d085backed Yes16c155.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e8…ba32backed Yes16c154.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes16c152.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7924110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c75…2449backed Yes16c151.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ff…a246backed Yes16c150.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ef…a533backed Yes16c148.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc1…f8e6backed Yes16c148.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b9…c874backed Yes16c146.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes16c143.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.243917.9%7 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3958…856cbacked Yes16c142.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…ff0dbacked Yes57c133.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.282560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c130.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2156314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e26…2020backed Yes16c117.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.164358.1%25 W · 18 L+14.6wins+0.34per pick24cpaid+200.9%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes16c114.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2617330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c113.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2926052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1083…be16backed Yes23c110.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Yes14c102.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.931741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…88ddbacked Yes37c100.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed No50c92.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.546031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c80.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1139414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No53c71.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.614852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No80c70.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.269123.1%21 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No54c57.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8511045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes53c56.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307742.9%33 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes47c54.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Yes40c54.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.854042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.069339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf49f…2661backed No41c49.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed No48c44.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a0…b876backed Yes56c39.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed No51c37.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.322040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…8608backed Yes58c34.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No66c30.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.18252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0818246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes41c28.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.574566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f23…8be6backed No56c26.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No75c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.472152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.