TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes78c20,034$15,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.683444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc828…dbfabacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c3…0c7ebacked No5c8,929$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed Yes77c5,888$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed No6c2,344$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.17160%0 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes64c2,165$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No17c2,114$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.879123.1%21 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…8df9backed No4c1,980$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5670%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No14c967.85$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.035052%26 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No5c929.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8713225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No6c817.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.822543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No6c790.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.562117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes73c759.54$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…e6c0backed No5c686.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No19c684.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13046330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de8…fc01backed No29c681.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a6…c591backed No22c672$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes69c602.02$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.613033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No6c576.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4822029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c547.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.611,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No6c531$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.875317%9 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No11c492.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4524110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed No2c489.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56350%0 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5073…16a7backed Yes45c441.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.383246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No12c418.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.499418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb06…adccbacked Yes51c400.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed No43c393$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.683737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No38c392.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6115446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb609…3c8ebacked No5c384.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ee…5805backed No31c384$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No6c380$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23818.4%7 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1c…be62backed No31c379.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes58c377.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ebb…5d52backed No3c377.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513b…31fcbacked No31c371.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…2a37backed No31c368.36$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…b65ebacked No31c367.84$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d3…acb8backed No31c367.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…6c5abacked No31c366.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0664…fdb4backed No31c360.42$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…837dbacked No4c360.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x978e…80bcbacked No62c360$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.53420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c75…2449backed No31c357.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…c462backed No31c353.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes30c333.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.346426.6%17 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb44…1482backed Yes72c277.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No13c274.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.245728.1%16 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No51c249.55$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0415356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No41c243.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4937117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…45ebbacked Yes33c241.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…2e35backed Yes55c237.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No16c232.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2111349.6%56 W · 57 L+28.4wins+0.25per pick24cpaid+106.5%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xafbc…18c6backed Yes55c227.84$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No35c223.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3326052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No17c208$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.364042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked No5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74211.9%5 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9be9…a5adbacked No31c198.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e21…2dd9backed No31c196.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1587…373dbacked No31c196.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6f…f8c5backed Yes69c196.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…cb74backed No31c196.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…73c6backed No31c195.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…4cbabacked Yes69c193.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c5…8b29backed No31c191.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545f…c3f7backed No31c191.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74b…688cbacked No31c191.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f0…496bbacked No31c191.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6718…b802backed No31c191.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7620…0bfbbacked No31c191.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd036…73e1backed No31c190.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9062…3447backed No31c190.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…1c56backed No31c189.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3965…f11dbacked No31c189.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4c…9333backed No31c188.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff8…7868backed No30c188.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x554c…fac0backed No31c188.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bb…bc9fbacked No30c188.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…416dbacked Yes69c188.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…b393backed Yes69c188.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ea…aea2backed No31c188.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bb…7e87backed No31c187.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3d…c93dbacked No31c187.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18cd…1f2dbacked No31c187.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…9249backed No31c187.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e17…9ad4backed No31c187.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c66…e0e6backed No31c187.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…30e0backed No31c186.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102b…501bbacked No30c186.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…8266backed Yes69c186.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046d…878fbacked No31c186.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae4…e912backed No30c186.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…36a8backed No31c186.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…ad48backed No31c186.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x650b…3511backed No31c186.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes73c186$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.225442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcad…f3f7backed No31c185.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b35…1fc4backed No31c185.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…ff5abacked No31c184.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e40…2a7fbacked No31c184$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a12…114ebacked No31c183.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.