World Politics · resolved market
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7fc2849abbc37acc11431cdaa33cc27f6da931a4c2e7da700da7f667367277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe055…8df9backed Yes | 1c | 8,747$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…5e50backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 3,755$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…e939backed Yes | 2c | 2,841$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…ccf6backed Yes | 1c | 1,762$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…6600backed Yes | 1c | 1,701$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…974fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8b…21e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b7…9793backed Yes | 8c | 969.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 625.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 359.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…9299backed Yes | 24c | 174.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 21c | 124.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…f239backed Yes | 26c | 116.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 105.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 24c | 100.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 28c | 82.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Yes | 30c | 76.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked Yes | 32c | 74.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 61.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 22c | 54.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 36.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 77c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?this page
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?No won
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.