World Politics · resolved market
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053278887d3c5759fb177aa4dc6de40d04a23aacaa24e25f04eac2972a812334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 15c | 12,783$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.89 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…6806backed Yes | 6c | 9,956$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 9c | 9,100$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes | 8c | 6,158$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 14c | 4,402$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 13c | 4,085$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 13c | 3,776$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.25 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…7737backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 9c | 2,371$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Yes | 16c | 2,243$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 73c | 2,006$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.58 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,005$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…4967backed Yes | 14c | 1,900$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,797$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…ca70backed Yes | 15c | 1,542$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 28c | 1,162$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 12c | 1,123$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cd…92dcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,118$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 21c | 1,090$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…52a3backed Yes | 10c | 996.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed No | 65c | 994$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 35c | 845$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 809.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ea50backed Yes | 3c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 656.86$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 622.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 588.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 65c | 586$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…67d6backed Yes | 10c | 562.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 71c | 526.12$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 27c | 517.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 35c | 490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 22c | 449.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed Yes | 26c | 425.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 419.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 23c | 401.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…7e95backed Yes | 25c | 398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 28c | 380$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 29c | 375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 11c | 336.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…f0d4backed Yes | 15c | 326.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked Yes | 9c | 322.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 312.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…513ebacked No | 77c | 306.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes | 33c | 304.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…c50ebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 8c | 299.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…5329backed Yes | 29c | 280.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…385bbacked Yes | 26c | 250.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Yes | 24c | 245.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 79c | 213$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 19c | 208.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…d62dbacked Yes | 9c | 204.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…bfecbacked Yes | 5c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Yes | 27c | 197.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 187.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…71e6backed Yes | 17c | 184.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…67a1backed Yes | 7c | 183.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…4eaabacked Yes | 26c | 156.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 35c | 151.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ab…5a3dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 35c | 149$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 146.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 134.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…997ebacked Yes | 11c | 133.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28b…23dfbacked No | 77c | 107.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…cfaebacked Yes | 26c | 106.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Yes | 27c | 102.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…b710backed Yes | 12c | 100.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3768…df1bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…6169backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…9a86backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…479abacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…97b0backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked Yes | 11c | 98.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…7a1abacked No | 65c | 95.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…7bcebacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…ab98backed Yes | 28c | 83.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 33c | 79.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 70c | 78.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?this page
- Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.