TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a65…9142backed Avalanche58c33,708$19,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,157.272166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blues36c17,043$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.9827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche59c14,394$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,901.613164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blues41c12,336$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.6112047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blues7c8,392$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.6841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blues42c8,375$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.3461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blues41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4601,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche59c5,419$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.694151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Blues42c4,288$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche60c3,861$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.311,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blues14c3,663$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43532151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues11c3,398$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues38c2,772$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Blues42c2,548$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.166139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf54…bbfebacked Avalanche59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Avalanche59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02516843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blues41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9927547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blues41c2,170$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.5648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Blues37c2,095$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Blues41c2,005$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0225447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Blues41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8203240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blues6c1,712$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Avalanche59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blues41c1,700$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.5776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…c2d3backed Avalanche59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Avalanche59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues42c1,693$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche63c1,652$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues7c1,337$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.032,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Blues41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5331361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Avalanche59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.445255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Blues41c1,110$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Blues41c1,050$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blues41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Blues38c990.45$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.566354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Blues41c987$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6731848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Avalanche65c955$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.227739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Blues41c951.21$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x971d…f598backed Avalanche59c814$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.744434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche65c806.13$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Avalanche70c726$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.239231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues4c649.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Blues10c605.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3729319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Avalanche58c560.44$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3832150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues41c553.64$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.231,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Blues4c545.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Avalanche59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054077.5%31 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe769…6d8bbacked Blues41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Blues42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed Blues43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Avalanche59c500$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.538555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Blues41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blues39c497$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.831,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0b…8ff7backed Blues41c495.62$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Blues41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Blues42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blues41c445.26$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5618853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Blues41c444.91$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.427557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Blues42c440.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e2…42d9backed Avalanche59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.732181%17 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e9d…a833backed Blues42c406.5$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.732524%6 W · 19 L-5.9wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues41c405.43$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2343548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blues41c404.14$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Blues41c403.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Blues41c403.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7319150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blues41c403.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7337754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…233ebacked Blues42c402.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.052040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Blues8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa35…2a55backed Avalanche59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues41c399.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9945749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Blues42c377.56$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9622853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Blues41c377.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.713860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Blues41c368.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.099650%48 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Avalanche64c353.87$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.919050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Avalanche59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9810657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Avalanche59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9840152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Blues41c334$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9410548.6%51 W · 54 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Blues38c332.21$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blues41c327.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.671,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Blues15c321.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.188160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Blues42c317.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3813351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Blues41c311.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.855569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Blues42c308$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.367853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806d…7c34backed Avalanche59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Blues42c287.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Blues42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Avalanche71c280$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Blues40c280$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.46737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Blues7c275.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Blues39c271.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6119644.9%88 W · 108 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Blues36c257.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.127947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…a66dbacked Avalanche59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Blues42c251.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057255.6%40 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Blues30c250.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Avalanche59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.