NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40a2d4f494d69fd7675ed1d844ec361d50703da9faffcd4bbd3c28ca24e2d505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Avalanche | 37c | 42,755$15,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,935.91 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 63c | 19,628$12,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,361.67 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Blues | 63c | 8,011$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked Blues | 63c | 5,339$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues | 63c | 3,492$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.24 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Blues | 63c | 2,173$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Blues | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Blues | 65c | 1,257$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blues | 63c | 1,145$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.56 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blues | 63c | 1,108$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.91 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Avalanche | 38c | 534.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.95 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Blues | 63c | 508.46$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 62c | 501.27$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Avalanche | 35c | 298.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 36c | 270.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Avalanche | 35c | 267.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 34c | 251.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 53c | 216.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…5f07backed Avalanche | 43c | 199.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 35c | 174.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Avalanche | 35c | 155.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Blues | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…f8e2backed Blues | 63c | 125.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blues | 44c | 115.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 46c | 111.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 65c | 76.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Blues | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blues | 62c | 65.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blues | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Avalanche | 39c | 52.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blues | 50c | 41.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blues | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blues | 63c | 37.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blues | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Blues | 63c | 34.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Avalanche | 76c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Avalanche | 76c | 32.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Avalanche | 76c | 32.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Avalanche | 76c | 32.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 65c | 31.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Blues | 43c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Avalanche | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Blues | 63c | 30.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Avalanche | 58c | 30.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blues | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blues | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Blues | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Avalanche | 36c | 29.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Avalanche | 38c | 28.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Avalanche | 38c | 27.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Blues | 49c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Blues | 65c | 25.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blues | 61c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blues | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…454ebacked Avalanche | 76c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. BluesAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.