NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe5f1716b4337deded41f0626a9db4529f07300209aba6f767ec849294f78a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 56c | 8,279$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 44c | 5,100$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 2,740$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,637$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.38 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 44c | 1,150$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Over | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 800$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 56c | 749.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 458.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 44c | 424$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 44c | 394$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 44c | 342$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 56c | 303.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 29c | 299.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Over | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 43c | 264$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 227.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 201.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 179$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 57c | 164$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 41c | 133.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 44c | 129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 25c | 127.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 44c | 92.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 88.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 45c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…f4e8backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 44c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 35c | 36.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 45c | 33.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 56c | 30.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…1fd7backed Under | 57c | 27.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Over | 44c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…9a0fbacked Over | 44c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f92cbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…1229backed Over | 46c | 22.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. BluesAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.