TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd24b…3cb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.08
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$11.23
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$13.67
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$18.06
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.99
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.39
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84%+$9.73
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.97
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122%+$23.37
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.4
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.94
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$18.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.29
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.49
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$16.4
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.55
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.12
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$3.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+225%+$32.34
Sarasota: Strong Kirchheimer vs Thomas Faurelbacked Strong Kirchheimer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.39
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244%+$41.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.8
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$18.54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$6.78
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.68
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$16.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Easter Womens Cup: Uganda vs USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.