NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d607b44d7dd4f8d10804bbc5cc42cfb66bfcb591d14356cde407256a12760f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 54c | 10,781$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.09 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 7,756$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 49c | 6,300$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.97 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 3,157$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.96 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 2,083$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.68 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 1,606$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,283$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.66 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 11c | 1,016$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 840.74$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 54c | 685.54$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 51c | 572.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 490.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 476.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 476.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 51c | 476.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 476.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 467.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 52c | 467.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 467.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 37c | 448.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 54c | 437.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Under | 57c | 389.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 356.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…270fbacked Under | 51c | 320.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 3c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 45c | 286.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 55c | 278.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 55c | 278.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 272.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 270.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 19c | 254.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 243.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 224.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 54c | 203.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 51c | 189.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 186.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 46c | 162$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 51c | 152.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 150.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf35…71e3backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 149.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 15c | 145.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 141.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7571…3bcbbacked Under | 78c | 126.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 121.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 51c | 113.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…b08ebacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 76.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 69.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 46c | 62.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 60.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…54adbacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8f…273abacked Under | 54c | 49.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…502bbacked Over | 50c | 48.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…10d9backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 52c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 38.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Under | 54c | 35.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked Over | 47c | 34.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 55c | 33.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Over | 47c | 30.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed Under | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795e…8805backed Under | 50c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Under | 53c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…ff47backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 26.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 59c | 24.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…594bbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.