TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls52c129,760$67,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,539.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards50c92,695$45,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,990.4532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Bulls51c90,060$45,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,142.044860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards47c64,431$30,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,394.131,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Wizards49c53,966$26,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,443.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls53c30,784$16,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,592.3563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls53c18,356$9,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,641.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Bulls50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls53c13,793$7,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,508.1290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards49c11,977$5,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.671,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Bulls52c10,735$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards49c10,339$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.6174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Bulls49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Bulls49c5,602$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.27451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls51c5,205$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Bulls50c4,895$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.7112450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Bulls50c3,998$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.1730157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls52c3,480$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards47c2,500$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bulls52c2,415$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wizards49c2,374$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.2456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls50c2,334$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Wizards50c2,328$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16411235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls52c2,280$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.3129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards42c1,679$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards47c1,544$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Bulls51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6869447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards47c1,236$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Bulls52c1,078$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2312257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Wizards48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls50c999.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards48c981.39$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Wizards49c975.34$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.913941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls52c928.32$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.5971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards47c865.51$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls51c802.69$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Bulls64c700.91$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.855054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards48c618.05$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.661,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Wizards48c599.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Bulls52c582.72$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls51c576.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards47c576.44$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.341,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bulls51c569.92$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Bulls50c545.45$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Bulls50c538.35$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1824949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards11c509.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls51c506.2$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Wizards48c499.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.945650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Bulls52c483.64$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1522349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards50c466.72$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards46c452.34$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.082,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Wizards28c405.79$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8611033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Wizards50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls53c388.27$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.379454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Bulls52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls51c350.46$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Bulls52c296.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5436248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Wizards49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards49c264.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Wizards48c248.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.681,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62f…4857backed Bulls51c243.6$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.363050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards47c242.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.761,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Bulls51c224.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.049455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Wizards48c214.45$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9414640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards46c213$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.982,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Wizards49c199.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Wizards49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9415055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Wizards49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls52c188.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2910457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Bulls52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.658762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Bulls52c186.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.536550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bulls53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1811759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Bulls53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1818552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Bulls52c181.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Bulls52c181.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8713153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Bulls51c179.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7910256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Wizards50c171.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls51c160.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Wizards48c155.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5820352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Wizards47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Bulls52c148.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.326756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Wizards48c148.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.991,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Bulls52c130.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.759854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards53c125.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Bulls53c121.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8810745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Wizards49c119.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Wizards50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Bulls53c114.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.886741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bulls51c107.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Bulls52c105.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.296960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Wizards48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Wizards47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Wizards49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4756154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed Bulls54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.732755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Wizards50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Wizards48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.