NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945ef9aac9db2ae8afba10c7280ca611277f81ada34bc0d1e11a1ab890530c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 51c | 484,905$247,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,301.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 49c | 445,820$218,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,638.62 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 49c | 49,459$24,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,224.16 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 52c | 22,881$11,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,806.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 49c | 19,859$9,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,166.59 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 49c | 14,871$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 48c | 12,276$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.48 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Wizards | 52c | 10,735$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,582.46 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 47c | 9,995$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Wizards | 54c | 7,292$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 51c | 5,800$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.97 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 52c | 4,919$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Wizards | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 51c | 3,774$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 40c | 2,693$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 49c | 2,473$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.21 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Wizards | 53c | 2,291$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.14 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards | 51c | 1,973$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.02 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Wizards | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 50c | 1,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,433$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.48 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 52c | 1,387$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.4 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,242$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Bulls | 48c | 1,199$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.55 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Bulls | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.53 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards | 52c | 1,137$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.46 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,063$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Bulls | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.72 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Wizards | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Bulls | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Bulls | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bulls | 59c | 994.75$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.57 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 49c | 982.71$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.92 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Bulls | 48c | 948.62$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.28 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 52c | 946.5$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.18 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 51c | 868.78$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 51c | 864.15$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Wizards | 52c | 827.86$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Bulls | 47c | 718.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Bulls | 48c | 593.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Wizards | 52c | 579.17$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Wizards | 31c | 547.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Bulls | 75c | 543.94$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Bulls | 48c | 522.65$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wizards | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 52c | 488.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wizards | 52c | 477.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Wizards | 52c | 459.06$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Wizards | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls | 49c | 416.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 52c | 398.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Wizards | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Wizards | 51c | 378.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 41c | 373.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Wizards | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Bulls | 49c | 365.59$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Wizards | 54c | 364.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…6f1dbacked Wizards | 53c | 340.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…69efbacked Bulls | 48c | 339.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Bulls | 48c | 322.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 53c | 293.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wizards | 25c | 287.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 47c | 284.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 50c | 279.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Wizards | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 52c | 272.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Wizards | 53c | 270.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Wizards | 52c | 240.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Wizards | 53c | 218.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Bulls | 50c | 207.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Wizards | 53c | 204.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards | 52c | 203.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bulls | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Bulls | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Bulls | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Bulls | 48c | 200.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Wizards | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Bulls | 48c | 199.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Wizards | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bulls | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Wizards | 53c | 191.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Wizards | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Wizards | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Wizards | 53c | 183.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Wizards | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Bulls | 49c | 177.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Wizards | 51c | 170.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Bulls | 48c | 160.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Wizards | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Bulls | 49c | 151.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Wizards | 51c | 134.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.