NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8484ddf8cafdeda886f48c277103a1a845a204f44003ebb454ca41fbf3c376c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 51c | 30,994$15,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,187.21 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 28,802$14,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,112.96 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 11,534$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.32 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 50c | 9,828$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.98 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,238$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 48c | 4,867$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.17 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 48c | 4,747$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.5 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…eea7backed Under | 47c | 4,718$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…b18dbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 3,618$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,661$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 53c | 2,273$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.46 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,973$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d0…7665backed Under | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 1,409$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 1,355$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,321$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…98f9backed Under | 50c | 1,261$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,193$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.33 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…ff3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked Under | 48c | 999.91$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 923.17$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.37 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 910.11$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.36 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 898$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 887.24$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 760.68$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 549.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 530.11$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 517.77$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 7c | 501.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 395.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 310.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 276.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Over | 52c | 275.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 54c | 243.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 50c | 228.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Over | 52c | 209.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…3127backed Over | 53c | 209.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 202.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Over | 54c | 196.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Over | 53c | 189.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 176.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 51c | 165.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 157.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 47c | 151.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 140.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Over | 52c | 135.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 46c | 106.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 105.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 105.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 105.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 52c | 101.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Under | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 54c | 98.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 97.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 90.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 83.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Under | 52c | 74.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…c884backed Under | 47c | 70.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 67.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 55.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…8561backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 48c | 47.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.