NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f85500b108c538ec5d82f983e9945349e6dc882a7282391688ad890c7a441ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 48c | 14,529$6,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.27 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 5,506$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Under | 49c | 3,834$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 54c | 3,803$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.7 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,763$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 3,736$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 2,724$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.47 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 4c | 1,835$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 1,753$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 29c | 1,473$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.54 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 1,111$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Over | 1c | 1,026$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed Under | 48c | 882.71$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 881.87$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 771.72$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.71 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 45c | 732.22$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.72 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 658.36$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Over | 55c | 620.89$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 565.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 491.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 430.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 395.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Over | 53c | 335.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 299.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 70c | 281.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 279.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 275.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 239.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 231.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 22c | 219$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 49c | 217.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 215.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 52c | 205.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 185.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 37c | 157.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 147.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Under | 47c | 142.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 46c | 134.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Over | 56c | 129.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 56c | 129.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 125.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 114.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 112.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 10c | 109.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 54c | 104.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 49c | 96.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…f034backed Over | 48c | 96.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 65c | 95.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 91.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 88.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 47c | 84.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 23c | 83.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Over | 54c | 82.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 82.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Under | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 77.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 16c | 75.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Over | 53c | 70.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 48c | 66.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 65.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 55c | 51.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 47.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 48c | 44.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 58c | 39.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Under | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 38.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 55c | 36.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…59d0backed Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 54c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6493…9a8ebacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Under | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed Over | 48c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…280dbacked Under | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Under | 47c | 26.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 53c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 47c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…9767backed Over | 55c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…ad92backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 57c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.