TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c14,529$6,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.2743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c5,506$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Under49c3,834$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over54c3,803$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.714556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c3,763$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c3,736$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over51c2,724$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.4795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over4c1,835$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.952,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c1,753$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8941,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,498$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.851,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over29c1,473$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.548844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c1,111$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Over1c1,026$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9815219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x419e…4cd4backed Under48c882.71$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c881.87$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under63c771.72$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under45c732.22$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.728350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c658.36$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Over55c620.89$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.523956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c565.94$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under45c491.96$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c430.36$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.742,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c395.86$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.792,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Over53c335.05$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.581241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c299.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under70c281.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5616159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c279.81$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c275.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c239.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over53c231.92$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over22c219$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6510523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c217.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.527647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c215.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.962,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over52c205.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c185.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1817047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c157.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c147.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130b…0e07backed Under47c142.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.422369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under46c134.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Over56c129.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.818543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over56c129.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.039854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c125.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.125,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c114.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c112.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over10c109.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under54c104.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over49c96.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…f034backed Over48c96.58$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under65c95.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c91.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.482,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c88.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c84.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over23c83.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.073,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Over54c82.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.742835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c82.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under66c82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8814237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c77.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over16c75.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0511033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over51c72.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over53c70.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.173246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under48c66.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.797052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c65.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed Under47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.754746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over55c51.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under55c48.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.891,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c47.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3855444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over48c44.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8413342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under58c39.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under50c38.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.316543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c38.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c36.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over55c36.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…59d0backed Under50c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.464100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over54c34.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.479334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6493…9a8ebacked Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Under47c29.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3925143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Over48c28.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.911942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x279f…280dbacked Under50c27.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0439041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Under47c26.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over55c26.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9514931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under53c23.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0171752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under47c22.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1518548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…9767backed Over55c22.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…ad92backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over57c21.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2753349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over57c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2220558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.