NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4e5cd6b540ce6adf8b4c7ebc5cb172385458a7822c8b4047a2deb2c26b18b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 28,707$13,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,779.22 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 52c | 19,972$10,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.54 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 14,021$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 51c | 8,965$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.23 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 7,464$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 52c | 6,238$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.25 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 6,136$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.99 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 51c | 4,934$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.31 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,342$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,879$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.99 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 3,686$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 3,361$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 2,934$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.23 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 1,721$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.67 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 52c | 1,419$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Over | 50c | 1,298$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 50c | 1,277$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.14 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,186$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Over | 50c | 1,173$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,132$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 50c | 1,063$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 956.62$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 791.03$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.38 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 739.31$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 729.62$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 703$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 50c | 580.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 508.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 52c | 432.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 419.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 418.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 402.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 311.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Under | 53c | 292.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 289.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 52c | 280.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 271.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 252.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 244.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 49c | 244.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 244.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 53c | 220.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 51c | 208.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 202.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Over | 47c | 197.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 49c | 192.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 52c | 187.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 184.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 53c | 174.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 48c | 164.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Over | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 132.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 109.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 52c | 93.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 92.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 55c | 87.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 52c | 84.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 78.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 77.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 69.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 68.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 57c | 67.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 66.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 37c | 64.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…c884backed Under | 49c | 63.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 48c | 58.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.