NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x769cb4288d1b1ffa1fc9fac4a3c5f402fda223ea9b495ac99ea33f42362980ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,615,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,593,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,615,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Wizards | 1c | 263,486$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.9 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Wizards | 33c | 149,725$49,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,409.33 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Bulls | 69c | 133,752$92,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,917.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Bulls | 68c | 98,106$67,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,970.08 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Wizards | 0c | 94,006$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 67c | 58,224$39,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,206.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards | 31c | 43,797$13,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,576.94 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 30c | 40,431$12,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,295.06 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards | 32c | 35,706$11,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425.84 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Bulls | 67c | 34,090$22,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,164.62 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 25c | 27,639$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Wizards | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 19c | 19,010$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Wizards | 31c | 16,437$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Wizards | 31c | 16,128$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.67 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.94 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Wizards | 20c | 14,122$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wizards | 31c | 13,573$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.37 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 67c | 13,538$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 6c | 12,144$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.22 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 69c | 10,860$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.46 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Wizards | 31c | 10,785$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.34 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 69c | 10,651$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Wizards | 11c | 10,514$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.05 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Wizards | 32c | 10,469$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 10,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Wizards | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Wizards | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Bulls | 67c | 9,948$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards | 0c | 9,871$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Bulls | 67c | 9,000$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 31c | 8,367$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 30c | 8,266$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.76 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards | 31c | 7,742$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards | 30c | 7,235$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.05 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 13c | 6,408$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 6,307$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 26c | 5,953$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 78c | 5,539$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.61 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards | 31c | 5,360$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.02 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Wizards | 30c | 5,075$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 68c | 4,946$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.3 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 31c | 4,405$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.53 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Bulls | 67c | 4,309$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 22c | 4,251$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…b0c4backed Bulls | 67c | 4,108$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Bulls | 67c | 3,971$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Wizards | 31c | 3,915$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.59 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 67c | 3,899$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 70c | 3,605$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.41 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 69c | 3,527$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.28 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 69c | 3,527$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 35c | 3,447$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bulls | 66c | 3,359$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.93 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Wizards | 31c | 3,355$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.08 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Bulls | 68c | 3,348$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 12c | 3,250$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Wizards | 31c | 3,123$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.18 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards | 1c | 3,075$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 33c | 3,023$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.71 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Bulls | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,942$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Wizards | 32c | 2,897$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Bulls | 67c | 2,890$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.61 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Bulls | 67c | 2,884$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Wizards | 28c | 2,884$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.36 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Bulls | 70c | 2,806$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.8 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Bulls | 67c | 2,701$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,631$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…0e7dbacked Bulls | 67c | 2,531$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Bulls | 68c | 2,503$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.94 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…84ddbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,351$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 68c | 2,300$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.22 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Bulls | 68c | 2,300$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.47 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls | 66c | 2,279$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 72c | 2,084$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Wizards | 26c | 2,066$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.85 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Wizards | 5c | 2,037$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Wizards | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Bulls | 72c | 1,953$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.96 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 36c | 1,939$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Wizards | 33c | 1,920$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Wizards | 10c | 1,892$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 333 | 44.1%147 W · 186 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 69c | 1,749$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.13 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 18c | 1,710$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 32c | 1,698$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.36 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Wizards | 24c | 1,668$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Wizards | 30c | 1,651$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.24 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Wizards | 30c | 1,620$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls | 75c | 1,617$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Wizards | 33c | 1,569$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.91 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…bcf7backed Bulls | 67c | 1,565$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,551$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 31c | 1,504$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,500$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Wizards | 3c | 1,471$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-14.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.