MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9caa11a649d03b55a41b5ebc5fedcc15de6297e9075e2f1194dc45b912dbb3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 79,920$42,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,680.13 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 21,159$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,425.69 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 18,159$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,804.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 10,622$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.99 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 5,550$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.57 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 4,757$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.77 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 46c | 4,558$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.47 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 45c | 3,642$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Over | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…7bcebacked Under | 2c | 2,854$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 46c | 2,580$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Under | 54c | 2,250$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 2,095$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.57 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked Over | 46c | 2,011$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 5c | 1,600$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,272$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…39e4backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 955.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.52 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 868.08$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.12 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 46c | 865.56$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 35c | 816.14$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.79 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 789.34$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 618.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 27c | 486.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 46c | 404.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 393.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Over | 50c | 386.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 365.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 20c | 325$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 306.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 55c | 300.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Over | 49c | 294.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 16c | 240.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 212.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 159.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 47c | 127.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 46c | 108.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 101.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 55c | 99.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 90.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 88.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…ce07backed Under | 53c | 75.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 50c | 74.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 55c | 70.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 51c | 68.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 54c | 67.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 45c | 59.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Over | 55c | 59.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 48c | 55.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 45c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Under | 54c | 50.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Over | 46c | 46.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…9cd3backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Over | 46c | 41.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 46c | 40.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 36.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 46c | 36.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 53c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 46c | 32.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 40c | 31.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…a913backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…a349backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Over | 46c | 30.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 26.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Over | 46c | 24.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.