TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c79,920$42,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,680.1355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c21,159$9,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,425.691,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c18,159$8,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,804.51,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c10,622$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.9965050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over48c8,400$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3683145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over68c5,550$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.572,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c4,757$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.7767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over46c4,558$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.4736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over45c3,642$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00315148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Over49c3,060$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.66653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…7bcebacked Under2c2,854$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over46c2,580$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.993531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Under54c2,250$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2152254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c2,095$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.571,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked Over46c2,011$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over46c1,935$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.0161947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under5c1,600$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.135950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,272$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f8…39e4backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b58…8692backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c955.49$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over46c868.08$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over46c865.56$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.419842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over35c816.14$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7926545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c789.34$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.636,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c618.52$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2916150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over27c486.71$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8813256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over45c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.382259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.186451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over46c404.49$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4319452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c393.82$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.661,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Over50c386.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over46c365.75$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5192054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under20c325$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.516019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under45c306.63$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9829547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under55c300.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.415541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7b…9c3abacked Over49c294.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.733145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Under16c240.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c212.48$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.981,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.522851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under54c185.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over46c159.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.771,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over47c127.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6718649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over46c108.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over49c101.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.375,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under55c99.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Under51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.541152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over46c96.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2554146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c90.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.841,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.658652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c88.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f2…ce07backed Under53c75.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under50c74.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.114740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under55c70.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5433547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under51c68.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.949044.4%40 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under54c67.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.573537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0822450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over45c59.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe172…e5a1backed Over55c59.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over48c55.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.985042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.666835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over45c52.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.097650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fdd…a037backed Under54c50.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.552568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over46c50.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed Over46c46.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.273145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under51c45.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2724350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Over46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6396…9cd3backed Over46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Over46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.725851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…3cb7backed Over46c41.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over46c40.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752181%17 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6b…340bbacked Over46c38.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over46c38.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.918751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c36.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.863,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over46c36.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under53c35.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.966446.9%30 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over46c33.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.176852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over46c32.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6526151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under40c31.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0410542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691b…a349backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Over46c30.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over46c26.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3165359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under55c25.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9115351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over46c24.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.154959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.