TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof San Diego Padres, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres43c26,364$11,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,205.9921040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres42c17,934$7,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,585.051,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x230d…d0c5backed San Diego Padres0c15,312$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9815148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c13,468$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.2221656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9977053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c10,979$6,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6652240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres43c8,570$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.350153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c8,192$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.6837953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c7,892$4,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.911,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed San Diego Padres43c7,114$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.7267849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c6,836$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.6936047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c6,002$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates71c5,316$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.148,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.9819252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c4,594$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.31,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed San Diego Padres41c4,266$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.9861947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres44c3,953$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.5226245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres34c3,841$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.032,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres31c3,304$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.416,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres25c3,222$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates56c3,168$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.0455053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates56c3,077$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.946647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c2,924$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.257048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres43c2,900$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.7610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Diego Padres42c2,758$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.2419250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Diego Padres42c2,472$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.2232348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c2,464$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.9830647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c2,430$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.1992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c2,397$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8416547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked San Diego Padres43c2,246$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c2,217$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed San Diego Padres41c2,100$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8618151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed San Diego Padres40c2,047$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.362646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres13c1,895$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.381,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres42c1,770$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.076,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed San Diego Padres26c1,770$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1148339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked San Diego Padres42c1,638$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.948646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c1,435$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.972951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres14c1,387$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.114,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed San Diego Padres44c1,314$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b72…87a7backed San Diego Padres22c1,288$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked San Diego Padres42c1,263$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.454438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed San Diego Padres13c1,244$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.626513.8%9 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c1,169$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.692,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed San Diego Padres41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4106440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates74c967.2$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.311,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres43c882.94$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8770735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c803.29$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.415250%26 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked San Diego Padres42c799.32$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.713935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked San Diego Padres44c760.47$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.61560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres35c753.18$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3460941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres42c574.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.332742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c571.8$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.974,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed San Diego Padres40c509.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9727451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked San Diego Padres42c505.58$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3414453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed San Diego Padres11c481.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.894731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked San Diego Padres40c464.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9433852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates63c459.45$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres32c435.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69e…c551backed San Diego Padres42c413.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c399.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9917448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c393.58$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2450751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked San Diego Padres43c391.15$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1534145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates55c389.2$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1427552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres38c378.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c372.26$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.855,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres23c360.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.684,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c360.24$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0350860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres42c343.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.271,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1e…1719backed San Diego Padres43c338.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.72030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres42c321.31$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.541,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c314.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0616351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres41c302.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2344643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed San Diego Padres43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Pittsburgh Pirates68c289.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1478649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed San Diego Padres44c284.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0925440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c274.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2413549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed San Diego Padres43c270.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.435149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres33c266.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates65c263.8$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c241.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked San Diego Padres40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.416159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf331…ca0bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c238.84$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.421861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked San Diego Padres42c231.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2936345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed San Diego Padres40c231$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed San Diego Padres42c230.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7822949.8%114 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed San Diego Padres17c227.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked San Diego Padres43c220$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.235245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.958045%36 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9551555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9534452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c218.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9515753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.