TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox43c56,617$24,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,514.421,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Baltimore Orioles55c34,506$18,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,532.2336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Baltimore Orioles58c30,000$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,449.9615148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Baltimore Orioles68c14,711$9,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.4111548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles57c14,293$8,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.511,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.8477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles80c11,374$9,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles60c11,326$6,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.4821656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox41c11,281$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.221,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Chicago White Sox46c10,715$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.659035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Baltimore Orioles58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20010647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox44c8,904$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.476,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles69c7,856$5,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.921,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Baltimore Orioles73c6,176$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.0710544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Baltimore Orioles62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9911146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles60c4,880$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95237953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox54c4,479$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.341,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles69c4,259$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.692,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Baltimore Orioles52c4,240$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.5319239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chicago White Sox41c4,025$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.371,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Chicago White Sox6c3,963$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.796523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Chicago White Sox14c3,887$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1132152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Baltimore Orioles61c3,771$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.912161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Baltimore Orioles59c3,458$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.893956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox47c3,437$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox42c3,257$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9161947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox51c3,075$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.281,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles42c2,942$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.8412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Chicago White Sox46c2,887$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.5711547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox41c2,829$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.855,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Baltimore Orioles58c2,735$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.711741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox41c2,595$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.011,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles59c2,397$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8416547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Baltimore Orioles58c2,254$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.537048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles55c2,250$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.4929948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox39c2,205$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.372,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox35c2,141$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Baltimore Orioles54c2,138$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.592744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox41c2,112$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.166,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Baltimore Orioles57c2,071$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.734247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Chicago White Sox43c2,021$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.2214156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84027451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Baltimore Orioles31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox5c1,944$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.611,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago White Sox24c1,884$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0648339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago White Sox53c1,765$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.7570735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles57c1,689$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles58c1,674$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8433852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Baltimore Orioles60c1,654$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1513946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox43c1,449$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.942,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox43c1,286$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Chicago White Sox10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Baltimore Orioles57c1,087$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.611743.6%51 W · 66 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox41c1,047$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Baltimore Orioles58c1,029$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.625756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf972…853fbacked Chicago White Sox52c1,018$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles58c1,005$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.796,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles63c1,003$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0434452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Baltimore Orioles56c998.9$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.895754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Chicago White Sox42c984.06$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1136649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Chicago White Sox44c981.77$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.982934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Baltimore Orioles57c973.38$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Chicago White Sox41c960.98$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3943542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox43c945.65$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9831149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles59c890.21$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.171,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox41c786.94$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.445,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Baltimore Orioles40c762.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8425349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Baltimore Orioles58c714.29$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox41c710.98$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.51,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago White Sox27c708.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2494034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Baltimore Orioles63c672.54$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3715753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox34c668.43$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.991,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Chicago White Sox42c661.25$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3528646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles63c659.35$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.191,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Chicago White Sox19c652.89$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5637747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles45c582.71$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4955541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox42c564.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.191,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Baltimore Orioles59c546.59$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4413549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Baltimore Orioles55c530.9$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2395250%26 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6970…ef65backed Chicago White Sox10c492.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.364238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Baltimore Orioles68c490.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.266653%35 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox29c489.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Chicago White Sox46c470.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Chicago White Sox17c468.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5523851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Chicago White Sox41c448.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.085848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Chicago White Sox44c444.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.612154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Baltimore Orioles55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0220848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Chicago White Sox41c411.02$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.526440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Baltimore Orioles60c408.66$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.76558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Chicago White Sox41c398.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2618345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Baltimore Orioles67c378.24$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.635253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox42c367.7$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4366551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Chicago White Sox41c366.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Chicago White Sox41c361.79$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.647345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Chicago White Sox43c359.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4912257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles71c347.16$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.741,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Chicago White Sox42c344.53$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.837050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Baltimore Orioles59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5613361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Baltimore Orioles77c316.02$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.681650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Baltimore Orioles53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.