MLB · resolved market
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e4666d5d71c598e4b34ff999dfe60095d7ce43f6b76d79033c159a4b867056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,294$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.03 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 2,007$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.07 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,339$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,107$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,036$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.31 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 682.46$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 440.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 431.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 414.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.21 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 380.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 350.51$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 188.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 171.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 153.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Chicago White Sox | 77c | 141.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 138.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 138.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 122.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 121.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 115.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 106.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 97.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 88.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Chicago White Sox | 71c | 45.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 45.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 43.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 37.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 34.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 30.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 26.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 26.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…1768backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 25.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 24.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 18.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White SoxBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.