MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589c1b1b26bf0f074f1f8b485a9136ecdca1fc6474f009b553a48b791bca4e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Under | 50c | 100,803$50,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,402.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 58,232$29,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,603.81 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 22,025$10,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,825.94 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 18,894$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,350.08 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 4,576$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.27 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,785$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.82 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,711$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.22 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 3,274$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 2,949$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.4 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 50c | 2,659$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.73 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,860$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Under | 49c | 1,285$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 1,143$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.31 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 46c | 751.42$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.91 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 704.08$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 50c | 618.28$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 53c | 546.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Over | 51c | 503.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Under | 50c | 494.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 467.62$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 50c | 417.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 50c | 397.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 383.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Over | 51c | 238.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 49c | 224.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Over | 41c | 181.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 149.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 138.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 26c | 137.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 120.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 49c | 113.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…f4e8backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…e512backed Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 98.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 56c | 97.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 51c | 93.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 74.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 56c | 71.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 69.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 61.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 53.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 50c | 53.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 51c | 52.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…010cbacked Over | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Over | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 38.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Over | 49c | 34.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 53c | 33.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 47c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 41c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 49c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed Over | 55c | 28.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Over | 74c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 50c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 46c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 47c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White SoxBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.