MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b349817b3bc980651968937b4c09fac5a1c90e302b34bb4c507ee263cbed876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 56c | 16,480$9,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.49 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 8,647$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.11 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 36c | 3,005$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,184$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,967$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 67c | 1,472$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.14 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,313$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 47c | 1,149$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.06 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Under | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 65c | 704.7$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 690.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 576.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 53c | 506.62$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 57c | 457.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 41c | 453.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 37c | 393.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 381.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 366.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 64c | 322.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 14c | 289.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 41c | 281.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 42c | 280.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 44c | 267.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 214.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 44c | 210.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 46c | 210.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 52c | 197.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 187.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 58c | 186.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 46c | 182.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 46c | 180.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 171.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 169.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 163.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 161.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 68c | 150.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 41c | 133.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 109.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 49c | 97.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 49c | 87.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 39c | 85.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 59c | 83.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 49c | 80.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 47c | 67.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…7c7bbacked Over | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 45c | 65.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 63.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 54c | 57.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 55.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 45c | 52.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 46c | 52.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 57c | 45.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 43.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 42c | 43.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 60c | 40.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 40.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 38.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 45c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Over | 52c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked Under | 43c | 30.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 46c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…b068backed Over | 51c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 43c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Over | 54c | 26.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay RaysChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.