MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24c733027414e117053416a65b3e91535b212334d103d1cc689bf0b1f8b05c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 64,832$31,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,712.72 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 40,280$18,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,751.23 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 23,719$12,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,149.5 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 21,186$11,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,016.65 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 14,692$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.65 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 13,858$7,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.11 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 11,234$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,997$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,448.46 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 9,326$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.27 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 8,789$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 8,254$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.65 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.95 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,213$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.92 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,066$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.57 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 3,872$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.24 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 3,415$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.9 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,362$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.09 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 3,282$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,059$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.33 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 2,742$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.72 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,665$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.71 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,477$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.5 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,452$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.63 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,417$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.28 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,311$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 2,231$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…5d71backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,060$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 1,975$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 1,947$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,827$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,719$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,691$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.12 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 1,634$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,491$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.18 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,491$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,453$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.57 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,392$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,245$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,159$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.86 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 1,159$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,029$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,017$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 972.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 962.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 909.57$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 13c | 849.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 836.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 768.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 727.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 723.54$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.24 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 717.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 699.97$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 688.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 599.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 590.65$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 568.17$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 555.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 528$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 519.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 515.84$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 372.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 365.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 350.44$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 337.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 13c | 335.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 300.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 299.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 285.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 264.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 263.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 257.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 253.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 246.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 232.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…36acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 231.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 231.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 225.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 222.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 212.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 211.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 210.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.