MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf480339a0d35ae30d5f0f0ca71c1ae3574b1650ab95b3603d5e00d2b0269c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 49c | 99,404$48,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,462.74 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 34,106$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,771.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 25,692$12,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800.4 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 53c | 10,713$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.78 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 49c | 9,810$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.25 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 7,382$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.37 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 3,976$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.38 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 50c | 3,891$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.47 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 3,136$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.76 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 2,963$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.53 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 53c | 2,904$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 2,436$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.94 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,251$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.38 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 2,061$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.61 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 52c | 1,962$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.68 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 54c | 1,945$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.61 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 1,398$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.01 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 49c | 1,393$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Under | 50c | 995$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 985.52$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.76 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 833.57$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.77 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 740.46$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.8 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 50c | 618.45$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 52c | 607$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 525.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 504.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 50c | 392.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 51c | 388.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 50c | 349.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Under | 47c | 333.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 50c | 325.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 51c | 246.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 50c | 174.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Over | 51c | 156.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 153.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Under | 49c | 149.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 148.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 147.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 131.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 52c | 118.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 231 | 56.7%131 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 110.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 107.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 47c | 103.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Over | 52c | 102.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 53c | 101.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 88.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 80.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 53c | 79.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 54c | 54.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 53.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 51c | 52.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 51.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 50c | 49.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 57c | 49.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 47.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 48c | 37.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…1068backed Over | 53c | 37.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 50c | 36.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 50c | 36.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 52c | 36.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 52c | 34.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…5f07backed Under | 48c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 52c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…32b7backed Over | 52c | 24.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Under | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 50c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 661 | 59.5%393 W · 268 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 52c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.