MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9844c024b5c2618747addddb32b7fc1b6aa556965c41a15b79d33869c92909f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Cincinnati Reds, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 77,779$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000.37 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 47,003$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…cba6backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 20,681$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 19,727$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.97 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 17,873$11,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.85 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 17,673$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.71 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…feccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 12,995$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.84 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 9,481$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 8,845$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.45 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 8,625$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.88 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,850$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.38 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 7,545$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,095$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.02 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,038$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.21 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 4,794$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.8 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 4,394$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.6 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,281$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 4,256$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 3,661$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.77 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 3,538$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.45 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,447$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.95 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,141$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.49 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,724$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.98 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,692$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 2,329$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,235$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,176$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.19 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 2,078$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.78 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,951$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,705$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.13 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,647$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.63 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,359$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,342$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.73 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,308$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.84 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,300$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.14 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,230$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,229$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.97 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,147$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,112$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.83 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,087$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,024$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…149cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 984.05$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 975.46$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.45 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 973.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 788.97$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 769.87$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 710.85$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 679.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 644$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 620.04$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 616.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 582.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…fbbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 570.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 564.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 538.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 489.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 458.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 457.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 454.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 442.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 414.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 411.61$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 393.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 389.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 379.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 375.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 374.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 372.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 363.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 353.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 337.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 330.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 326.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 324.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 318.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 313.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 310.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 307.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 303.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 291.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 284.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 266.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 260.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 257.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 255.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.